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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » කොටස් වෙළඳපොළේ කතා » TA in Sinhala - 1st lesson-MACD-All are Welcome!

TA in Sinhala - 1st lesson-MACD-All are Welcome!

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Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
MACD

මේක තමයි කොටස් වෙළදපොලේ ලේසිම සහ වඩාත් හොදින් ප්රතිපල ලබාගත හැකි chart එක. MACD කියන්නේ "Moving Average Convergence- Divergence".
මේක සිංහලෙන් කියන්න ගියොත් ඔලුව අවුල් වෙනවා. ඒ නිසා මේක මේ විදියටම මතකේ තියාගන්න. ඇත්තටම මේ chart එකේ දැක්වෙන්නේ සලකා බලන ආයතනයක කොටස්වල මිල ගණන් වල සිදුවන වෙනසෙහි සාමාන්යයි. උදාහරණයකින් මෙහෙම කියන්න පුළුවන්. හිතන්න පොල්තෙල් හදන කර්මාන්ත ශාලාවක් ගැන. අලුතින් පටන් ගතට මේ කර්මාන්ත ශාලාවේ දවස් 10 ක් ඇතුලත පොල්තෙල් ලීටර 1000 ක් හැදුවා. (ඒ කියන්නේ දවසකට හදන ලීටර ගණන 100 ක් කියන එක නෙමෙයි. මේ දවස් 10 ක එකතුවයි). ඔයා තමයි කළමනාකාරතුමා. ඔයාට කියනවා දවස් 30 කට කොච්චර පොල්තෙල් ලීටර ගානක් හදන්න පුළුවන් වෙයිද කියල හොයල බලන්න කියල. ඔයා මොකද කරන්නේ? ඔයා ලීටර 1000/10 න්. එතකොට දවසක සාමාන්ය පොල්තෙල් නිෂ්පාදනය කරන ලීටර ගණන 100 ක්.
1000/10 =100
මේක පාවිච්චි කරලා ඔයාට ඕනෑම දවස් ගානකට පොල්තෙල් හදන ලීටර ගණන කියන්න පුළුවන්. ඒවගේම තමයි කොටස් මිලවල සිදුවන වෙනසෙහි සාමන්යහි අනුව සබැ මිලෙහි සිදුවන වෙනස අනුමාන කරන්න පුළුවන්. අපිට මෙහිදී හරියටම price එක කියන්න බෑ. එත් buy/sell කරන්න ඕන අවස්තාව හොදින් තේරුම් ගන්න පුළුවන්.
ඒ වුනත් දැනට මේක තනිව පාවිච්චි කලාට මේකේ නියම ප්රතිපලය ලැබෙන්නේ තව chart කීපයක් එක්ක පාවිච්චි කලාමයි. එත් දැනට පුරුදු වෙන්න උත්සාහ කරන්න. හුරු වෙනකල් ලොකු අවධානමක් ගන්න යන්න එපා.
MACD chart එකක දවස් 26 ක සහ 12 ක average එක එක්ව දැක්වෙන ඉක්මනින් චලනය වන නිල් පාට line එකකුත්, දවස් 9 ක සිදුවූ වෙනස්කම් වල average එක දැක්වෙන හෙමින් චලනය වෙන රතු පාට line එකකුත් අඩංගු වෙනවා. මෙම වර්ණ ඉතා කලාතුරකින් භාවිතා කරන, software එකට අනුව වෙනස් වෙන්න පුළුවන්. එතකොට මේවා ඒ පාට වලට ගලපගන්න. මම පාවිච්චි කලේ ගොඩක් දෙනෙක් පාවිච්චි කරන DirectFN TWS වල chart analyzing application එකයි.

Buy Signal
මෙම signal එකේ ලැබෙන ප්රධාන අවස්ථා 2 ක් පැහැදිලිව ගෙනහැර දැක්විය හැකියි.
1. Blue line එක පහල සිට ඉහලට සිටිනසේ Red line එක හරහා ගමන් කිරීම.
2. Blue line එක පල සිට ඉහලට 0 line එක හරහා ගමන් කිරීම.

Sell signal
1. Blue line එක ඉහල සිට පහලට Red line එක හරහා ගමන් කිරීම.
2. Blue line එක ඉහල සිට පහලට 0 line එක හරහා ගමන් කිරීම.

පහත Image එක බලන්න, ඔයාලට හොදට අවබෝධ වෙයි කියනවාට වැඩිය.



Blue arrow - Buy
Red arrow - sell



මෙන්න දැනගත යුතු තව කරුණු,

1. මෙය MACD සරලවම භාවිතාවන ආකාරයයි. මීට වඩා ගොඩක් සංකීර්ණ ක්රම තියනවා. නමුත් නවකයෙකුට ඒ සේරම එක පාර තේරුම් ගන්න කොහෙත්ම බෑ. එත් මේ ටික අමාරු නෑ. ඒ වගේම මෙටික හොදටම ඇති හොද trade එකක් කරන්න.
2. සමහර වෙලාවට නොහිතන අස්වාභාවික හේතු නිසා මෙම signal 100% නිවැරදි නොවෙන්න පුළුවන්. ඒ නිසා වෙනත් බාහිර කරුණු වලටත් හොද අවධානයක් යොමු කරන්න.
3. 0 line එකට පහතින් Buy signal එකක් තිබුනොත් එක ආරක්ෂිත බැවින් වැඩියි. එම නිසා බය නැතුව trade කරන්න පුළුවන්.
4. මෙම chart එක භාවිතා කලයුත්තේ RSI Money Index වැනි chart කීපයක් සමගයි. එවිට අපිට ලැබෙන signal එක තහවුරු කරගැනීමට පුළුවන් ආරක්ෂිතයි කියල. මේකට තනිව එම හැකියාව අඩුයි. එමනිසා ප්රවෙස්සම් වන්න.


මා සදහන් කල ආකාරයට මෙය තමයි කොටස් වෙළද පොලේ වැඩියෙන්ම භාවිතා වන chart වර්ගය. මේ පිළිබදව ඔබට ඇති ඕනෑම ගැටළුවක් අපවෙත යොමු කරන්න. අපි සුදානම් විසදුම් ලබාදෙන්න.

SL.Market

SL.Market
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
No any words but... Great ...Great..Great...Great


NewInvestor

NewInvestor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hats off... study Hope this works with CSE Very Happy

Deva


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Very good work Robo, keep on sharing your knowledge.

ishnet

ishnet
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
නියම වැඩක්.............

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
U are doing it great....Hope this will give good answer to some bakapandits who said it would be useless to translate TA in to sinhala.

Madhusanka


Stock Trader
නියමායි වැඩේ නියමායී

wappula

wappula
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="Roboticfx"]MACD




Blue arrow - Buy
Red arrow - sell
[/ig]
I think something wrong ne...

Me vidiyata buy sell karoth hodata hiteewi.....

hariesha


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Effort is good. But there is ambiguity. Can you take a real example (which gave good signals today) and explain. ie : OGL or GREG

dayasiri

dayasiri
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
well done bro..hats off.
keep it up.
i can understand easily your lesson.good effort.

NewInvestor

NewInvestor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="wappula"]
@Roboticfx wrote:MACD




Blue arrow - Buy
Red arrow - sell
[/ig]
I think something wrong ne...

Me vidiyata buy sell karoth hodata hiteewi.....

I'm curious too...
I don't know anything about TA, but is blue-buy and red-sell for SFS would have disaster.

May be this chart alone don't make a whole picture...
Please enlighten me Robo...

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
[quote="NewInvestor"]
@wappula wrote:
@Roboticfx wrote:MACD




Blue arrow - Buy
Red arrow - sell
[/ig]
I think something wrong ne...

Me vidiyata buy sell karoth hodata hiteewi.....

I'm curious too...
I don't know anything about TA, but is blue-buy and red-sell for SFS would have disaster.

May be this chart alone don't make a whole picture...
Please enlighten me Robo...

dear bro,

This is only an example used to point out.This is not an analysis. We cannot identify the most drastic signal through MACD lonely. We need the help of other charts!

malanp


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

I think it is other way.

red=buy
blue=sell

kasper

kasper
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
deleted wrote:
I think it is other way.

red=buy
blue=sell

Mr.Robo, I feel the same. btw, keep up the good work.

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Please consider this! I will post another good chart later!

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Please remove quotes with images. It will reduce the loading time of the page. A kind request! Very Happy

Nuwan05


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
This is very good lesson. please keep ur work going and explain us other charts too. Better if u can explain the doubt of buying and selling Smile

Thank you

swan03


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
This is very easy to understand Rob. Thanks!!

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@swan03 wrote:This is very easy to understand Rob. Thanks!!

Dear akke,

Without you, definitely I can't do this. I appreciate your translation service. Typing sinhala is a difficult job.

NewInvestor

NewInvestor
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@Roboticfx wrote:
@NewInvestor wrote:
I'm curious too...
I don't know anything about TA, but is blue-buy and red-sell for SFS would have disaster.

May be this chart alone don't make a whole picture...
Please enlighten me Robo...

dear bro,

This is only an example used to point out.This is not an analysis. We cannot identify the most drastic signal through MACD lonely. We need the help of other charts!

Hmm, that's what i thought too.. thanks

@Roboticfx wrote:
@swan03 wrote:This is very easy to understand Rob. Thanks!!

Dear akke,

Without you, definitely I can't do this. I appreciate your translation service. Typing sinhala is a difficult job.

Not when you got this http://www.ucsc.cmb.ac.lk/ltrl/services/feconverter/t1.html

dasun janaka

dasun janaka
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
excellent effort bro.... keep doing it

greedy

greedy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
[quote="wappula"]
@Roboticfx wrote:MACD




Blue arrow - Buy
Red arrow - sell
[/ig]
I think something wrong ne...

Me vidiyata buy sell karoth hodata hiteewi.....

I guess same. It appears the orange line is the faster line and blue line is the signal line. Therefore, Buy (blue) & sell (red) arrows should be replaced with each other.

greedy

greedy
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Good effort & keep it up.

upuldi

upuldi
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
signal itself has no use if the volume is not supported. usually i used to look in to the volume as well. and when a pattern is forming always check the order book before u enter into the trade to know whether u can execute the order and exit from the desired price level. no point of knowing that vone is going to hit 20 with in few minutes if there is a huge sell order is waiting at 19.50. this is only myway of doing it. correct or incorrect this has saved my ass many times.... Very Happy



Last edited by upuldi on Fri Mar 30, 2012 11:48 am; edited 1 time in total

m2_yapa

m2_yapa
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Dear Upul D
Let me tell you this..these days no one can predict according to the volume...can you tell me when did you success with looking at the volume during last six months...
Dear Robo and Akki
It is a great work! and very useful to the many of the interested party...we are looking ahead to read more valuable articles likes this..

Roboticfx

Roboticfx
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@greedy,

Blue line is the faster line and red line is the signal line. As I said before, this is only an example and Don't take it much seriously. I will post a good and real one soon.

BTW, appreciate everyone's positive responses. Thank you very much! Very Happy

parackrama

parackrama
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Good one. thank you

dptd


Stock Trader
best lesson, thank you. go on

upuldi

upuldi
Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
@m2_yapa wrote:Dear Upul D
Let me tell you this..these days no one can predict according to the volume...can you tell me when did you success with looking at the volume during last six months...
Dear Robo and Akki
It is a great work! and very useful to the many of the interested party...we are looking ahead to read more valuable articles likes this..
Its simple as this. MACD itself has no value if u r not looking volume and order book. read between lines..

malanp


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

well
it is a great lession.

I have learnt MACD before but every time I read again, I learn something new.

Keep it up good work.


dasun janaka

dasun janaka
Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
hello robo,
වෙන වෙනම ගත්තහමred line හා blue line එකෙන් කියවෙන්නෙ මොනවද...?

rijayasooriya

rijayasooriya
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dasun janaka wrote:hello robo,
වෙන වෙනම ගත්තහමred line හා blue line එකෙන් කියවෙන්නෙ මොනවද...?

Read carefully it has been mentioned.

33 MACD lines for sri lankan companies on Sat Oct 13, 2012 7:49 am

hiran66


Stock Trader
Thanks for the great post. Where can we get detailed MACD graphs for sri lankan stocks?

wgsaman

wgsaman
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
thanks.good work robo

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Sadly this thread didnt continue silent

opfdo

opfdo
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
where is robo now......
pls start it again..........

TAH, Small, Stockmate ........Sri.......Rajitha....etc...can you pls ?
@smallville wrote:Sadly this thread didnt continue silent

snandasiri

snandasiri
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@hiran66 wrote:Thanks for the great post. Where can we get detailed MACD graphs for sri lankan stocks?

With Direct FN TWS software .
If you haven't Direct FN, you can find some charts in

zoozzoo


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
thanks Roboticfx

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