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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Charts & Graphs » Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

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1 Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:18 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
First topic message reminder :

CTCN 850/- ...can reach ?  Shocked those on buying spree ...please be patient


161 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 03, 2013 3:52 pm

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:Look at NDB longing to be in familiar territory back again.....

If the H&S pattern to come true...then we are looking @ Good BUY opportunities on Both...so Have ready cash when opportunities come your way....
Did not look at HNB....still...Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]" />
Did you get a chance to look at HNB chart? Very weak buying past few days.

162 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:23 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
The HNBN seem to trend on a channel and my projection is that price may hit 140/138 levels before another BUYING spree.

Its trading in a rectangle, as you know it may break out to further low or reverse. better to have tight stop loss if you plan to trade...
TAH

163 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:45 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:@Balapas

S&PSL20 should HOLD after yesterdays DROP.
May HOLD 3210 ...should it not HOLD then we are looking @ 3150.

I am more biased S&P should see upward momentum from NOW.

TAH
This week should give further insight towards market direction based on S&P.

Can S&P form a double bottom and reverse around 3200 levels or will it shed more points on selling pressure and drop in prices towards 113 fib,

Here is the chart....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Ravin A.k.a TAH

164 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 04, 2013 8:56 am

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Thanks. Excellent work!

165 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 09, 2013 1:11 am

traderathome


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Here is the JKH.N updated Chart....
[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]

166 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:05 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I am loving my LION shares.......Avg Cost 370 Smile

BTW seeing a volume of 65000+ ....

I liked the share after reading there AR last year...

Please share your unbiased thought on LION.N

Once a LION always a LION.... Smile

Graawllll
TAH

167 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:15 am

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:I am loving my LION shares.......Avg Cost 370 Smile

BTW seeing a volume of 65000+ ....

I liked the share after reading there AR last year...

Please share your unbiased thought on LION.N

Once a LION always a LION.... Smile

Graawllll
TAH
However current price of Rs 410 was achieved through 4 shares only. Most shares were traded around Rs360. Then small odd lot trading taking price upwards.

168 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:26 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@balapas wrote:
@traderathome wrote:I am loving my LION shares.......Avg Cost 370 Smile

BTW seeing a volume of 65000+ ....

I liked the share after reading there AR last year...

Please share your unbiased thought on LION.N

Once a LION always a LION.... Smile

Graawllll
TAH
However current price of Rs 410 was achieved through 4 shares only. Most shares were traded around Rs360. Then small odd lot trading taking price upwards.
Yes i saw the day trades on CSE....my question is perhaps it has come to 400 levels after so many trades @ 360.....

This one is ready to go to 500s in the coming months ......Remember the LLUBs/NESTs & CTCs....

In bear market or in bull market we can make money if you know where to invest......

I have come to a conclusion based on their AR for last year....their bottom line will improve after this year.....after modernization of their plants if i remember correctly.

i am giving this share 1 to 2 years to grow my PF

wish i can collect some more @ 360-350 Sad

Good luck



169 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 10, 2013 10:32 am

balapas


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Agreed on those points. Harry J himself mentioned that due to urbanization some people are moving from hard liquor to soft liquor. So can imagine some daily drinkers sipping beer instead of Gal everyday. LION does not have consistency in taste and hope they fix it with plant modernization. Lot of my friends complained about it (unless there is mass scale counterfeit beer but highly unlikely given the price)

170 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Sep 10, 2013 11:02 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Even DIST should do a good run Technically on a 3 Drive..But trade carefully. 170-180 are Best Buys. with a risk to 160ish.

Smiling TAH

171 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 11, 2013 9:50 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
This is what i see on the LION.N Chart.....

A Price appreciation 04 about 38/40% from CMP to close @500+.

A gradual collection since Rs 250 towards 400 upto yesterday.

An interesting RSI chart that depicts there is a collection strength over the months and added MACD divergence.

I must however say i am not a keen enthusiast of MACD & RSIs,however given the limited application of these indicators in my trading routines...there is a strong feeling the LION run has started...

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Good Luck

TAH

172 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 11, 2013 12:59 pm

The Alchemist


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:This is what i see on the LION.N Chart.....

A Price appreciation 04 about 38/40% from CMP to close @500+.

A gradual collection since Rs 250 towards 400 upto yesterday.

An interesting RSI chart that depicts there is a collection strength over the months and added MACD divergence.

I must however say i am not a keen enthusiast of MACD & RSIs,however given the limited application of these indicators in my trading routines...there is a strong feeling the LION run has started...

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Good Luck

TAH
Why dont you buy BREW instead (at Rs 475 there are sellers) ?! Smile
If you like LION, you gotta love BREW at trading prices.
Just a friendly tip from Billie Jean Wink

173 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 12, 2013 12:19 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
REPOSTING Smile

TAH[/quote]This week should give further insight towards market direction based on S&P.

Can S&P form a double bottom and reverse around 3200 levels or will it shed more points on selling pressure and drop in prices towards 113 fib,

Here is the chart....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Ravin A.k.a TAH[/quote]

174 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 12, 2013 9:01 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Slstock,

Sir are you on CTBL @3.20 Smile

IMO there is more ROOM....

Seemed a Good Reversal know ....

TAH

175 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 12, 2013 11:08 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dilshan unawatuna wrote:TAH,,,,,,,whts ur idea on CTBL ?????its going down day by day...
This original post by the member was made on June 17th this year.
I vaguely do remember that we discussed @ which price level the reversal point would occur, correct me if i am wrong we suggested it would be 3.5 -3.2 and Slstock can vouch me, he did say if we were able to collect CTBL below 3.5 would be a GEM.

So those who collected  below 3.5 are surely lucky now know Smile CTBL trading 3.8 currently....

Since we are discussing CTBL here, how much you are willing to BUY ASIY that gave a 38c dividend pay out for NAV 2 and CMP of 2.7 whereas CTBL NAV is 50% of CMP.

Time would prove, whether the payout was a once in a lifetime...but to me ASIY seemed to have some more ROOM left

Which 1 you prefer.

BUY CTBL @3.8 or
BUY ASIY @2.8

Over to you members.....

TAH

Please note : I am holding both counters currently in my PF.

176 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 12, 2013 11:56 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:REPOSTING Smile

TAH
This week should give further insight towards market direction based on S&P.

Can S&P form a double bottom and reverse around 3200 levels or will it shed more points on selling pressure and drop in prices towards 113 fib,

Here is the chart....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Ravin A.k.a TAH[/quote][/quote]
Further update on S&PSL 20 my favorite INDEX....

There are 3 possible scenarios for the BULLS assuming the UPTREND continues we should see few more points Up, then we should see the initial profit take that could bring the INDEX down.

Medium to Longterm the TREND should form few Harmonic patterns in the run up to Longterm possible reversal zone.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

TAH

177 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 13, 2013 5:52 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Hey guys ...Did you notice extra cash margin on your account.....as of close..

TAH

178 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 13, 2013 9:14 pm

dhanurrox


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:Hey guys ...Did you notice extra cash margin on your account.....as of close..

TAH
What you mean?Anyway nice to see the new profile picture.Trader..More the time I spent in CSE more I feel trading is the best.Comparing last for year prices less than 10 shares would have been good investment.All others are loosers.
CTC,NEST,LLUB... what else?

179 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 13, 2013 11:53 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
CT has given more Margin to BUY shares Smile

I am not going to touch the Margin, Its very dangerous know.

So we should see more BUYING on Margin Balance

180 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 10:04 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@The Alchemist wrote:
@traderathome wrote:This is what i see on the LION.N Chart.....

A Price appreciation 04 about 38/40% from CMP to close @500+.

A gradual collection since Rs 250 towards 400 upto yesterday.

An interesting RSI chart that depicts there is a collection strength over the months and added MACD divergence.

I must however say i am not a keen enthusiast of MACD & RSIs,however given the limited application of these indicators in my trading routines...there is a strong feeling the LION run has started...

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Good Luck

TAH
Why dont you buy BREW instead (at Rs 475 there are sellers) ?! Smile
If you like LION, you gotta love BREW at trading prices.
Just a friendly tip from Billie Jean Wink
Sorry for replying late Sad

I bought LION & DIST ...thats more than enough Smile

If LION & DIST can increase the Dividend P/O %......in the future...then we will be looking new levels know.

Lets wait and see, now that we are in the GAME.

TAH

181 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 10:11 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Its HIGH time CTC & NEST both Go for a SPLIT

This will increase liquidity as more retailers will attract to both counters.....1:2 & 1:3

Will the Big Players like it....

In the long run both parties will be happy...thats my opinion....

Due to liquidity yes the Share Price can fluctuate to find a good support for the 2 counters but at the same time will bring much anticipated retail participation.
TAH

182 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 10:21 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Can any one work and confirm on hypothetical scenarios for the following Stock Splits and the resultant

CTC @ 1170 1:2 or 1:3 =585 or 390
NEST@ 2000 1:3 or 1:4 = 667 or 500

Because I am not familiar with the calculation.

It need not be 1 always we could work out different possibilities 5 for 4 etc

Your comments are highly appreciated...

Thanks

183 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 11:01 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:
@traderathome wrote:REPOSTING Smile

TAH
This week should give further insight towards market direction based on S&P.

Can S&P form a double bottom and reverse around 3200 levels or will it shed more points on selling pressure and drop in prices towards 113 fib,

Here is the chart....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
Ravin A.k.a TAH
[/quote]Further update on S&PSL 20 my favorite INDEX....

There are 3 possible scenarios for the BULLS assuming the UPTREND continues we should see few more points Up, then we should see the initial profit take that could bring the INDEX  down.

Medium to Longterm the TREND should form few Harmonic patterns in the run up to Longterm possible reversal zone.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

TAH
[/quote]
The circled RED Candle last friday perhaps indicated that some were taking off their profits to close SPSL20 to clse in RED. Come monday we may see a DROP another RED day or two that should not close below the LAST LOW. Thats important. If i may Time the DAYS lets say from Wednesday to Fridays we may be able to see massive GREEN candles. i mean INDEX should appreciate wonderfully that would close (abc) correction 3 wave on the EW pattern. Hopefully drunken  (Hope is a word = Banned in any market Smile )

I wish we could be in this state of the market for some time, so that most can collect on what ever they can (fundamentally good picks) But will Mr. Market wait for us....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

All the Good Luck & wish you all the best

TAH

184 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 11:05 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
OOOps sorry ...

That was the naked chart......while i was dressing to get to my work...

Here you go the nicely drawn HPP chart on S&PSL20 Index for the weeks ahead

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Happy Trading

TAH

185 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 11:17 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Very interesting scenarios can take place this coming week. Smile

Let us enjoy gleefully.....

I will update another chart, all charts are depicted with clear BULLISH BIASE.

So i dont see ATM anything get alarmed of another BEAR hiding in the Corner for his ACT is not in the script ....i would say NOT AS YET Smile

1 or 2 Bear Cubs will come and go with soft grawl.....the GRIZZLY BIG fellow is in hibernation for sometime.

Trade with care
Select S&P Index shares that should complement very well.
Alternatively other strong counters you may think will be added or ought to add in next years SPSL20 INDEX.

Yours sincerely
TAH Basketball 

186 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 14, 2013 10:01 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Is the Honey Moon period over for LIOC.N

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

187 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 16, 2013 9:27 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I have identified following counters to give me decent return by way of CG and dividend pay outs.....

Appreciate your advise...... Wink

LFIN
VONE
ASIY
HOPL
LION
HAYC
CTBL
TPL
DIAL
DIST
SERV

Hope to Add again
SAMP
SHL


Thanks

188 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 16, 2013 12:53 pm

nkuda


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:I have identified following counters to give me decent return by way of CG and dividend pay outs.....

Appreciate your advise...... Wink

LFIN
VONE
ASIY
HOPL
LION
HAYC
CTBL
TPL
DIAL
DIST
SERV

Hope to Add again
SAMP
SHL


Thanks
Dear traderathome,
Can you please update the ECL chart ?

189 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 16, 2013 9:25 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
The following is the VONE chart.

There seem to be some selling going on, A break below 15Rs may see Rs 13 that would be a 2Rs drop. I am more bullish biase on VONE to test the Rs 17/-.

All what we need is a break out to the HIGH.

we should be cautious on fake break-outs, so trade extremely careful.

I would be happy to collect another lot in the 13rs level. Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Smiling TAH

190 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 16, 2013 10:17 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
SHL.N

Bought Today after seeing Bullish Divergence on MACD.N

Hope you noticed it.

Its the Market now has to deliver.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Good Luck

TAH

191 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 16, 2013 11:24 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
This is a Arabic Proverb....I thought i could share...

And i feel its relevant ...specially if you are trading on Margin Trading Rolling Eyes 



Some people's disasters provide benefits for other people. (What is disastrous for some people can prove to be advantageous for other people.)

192 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 12:36 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Do you Like VONE....

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

193 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 12:53 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
We should see some volatility between 15.20-15.50 Rs for VONE before a B/O.

194 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 12:59 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
this is the screen shot of VONE.

this was taken short while ago....18.09.2013

lets see in a couple of weeks, how this has changed...

Good Luck

Discl: I own 37500 of VONE @ 15.20-15.40 levels.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

195 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 1:01 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
This is the Screen Shot of my VONE

No hidden Agenda... Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

196 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 1:04 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BTW that 15.30 for 1500 order appearing on the order book is mine....yes Very Happy 

TAH

197 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Sep 18, 2013 2:13 pm

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
The order Just got Filled.

198 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 19, 2013 9:20 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:OOOps sorry ...

That was the naked chart......while i was dressing to get to my work...

Here you go the nicely drawn HPP chart on S&PSL20 Index for the weeks ahead

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Happy Trading

TAH

oops looks the chart is on course with reality......

will there be renewed interest from coming week or will it push hard one more time break below LAST Lower LOW.

TAH

199 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Sep 19, 2013 9:37 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Well the Market does not behave according to my thinking in reality, but i thought i can now play with some fancy patterns on VONE.

That is to have a smaller Head & Shoulder bottom in a Big H&S. Will this be a reality, only time will tell.

That pattern i am seeing is totally hypothetical, so do not confuse it with your decision making.

I am not trying to influence your decision by any means......

But if we can develop a program to detect patterns well in advance before such formation BASED on HIGH PROBABILITIEs , wouldnt that be fantastic Smile

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

I do remember me and small were able to detect the H&S of JKH when it was trading around 180 before the upsurge, this was some years back.

one should be able to find that posts where discussed on lengths if he or she could dig into my HPP old thread from the beginning.

Lets see what happens with this one in few years.



200 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 20, 2013 10:16 am

traderathome

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
SHL.N is it a H&S Bottom Smile

Short Term Rs 10 in sight.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

201 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 20, 2013 10:29 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@traderathome wrote:
@traderathome wrote:OOOps sorry ...

That was the naked chart......while i was dressing to get to my work...

Here you go the nicely drawn HPP chart on S&PSL20 Index for the weeks ahead

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Happy Trading

TAH

oops looks the chart is on course with reality......

will there be renewed interest from coming week or will it push hard one more time break below LAST Lower LOW.

TAH
Two reversals came correct as predicted on HPP thread....1st was a 113FIB 3150 and secondly today..........

202 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Sep 20, 2013 10:32 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

This was 2nd....Reversal happened today...
Slightly worried on the reversal it may happen around 3200-3300 on profit take. Sellers can hurt this Run..

TAH

203 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 21, 2013 1:05 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH Short term trade toward 225 or extension 240 max.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

204 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Sep 21, 2013 10:19 am

traderathome

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
There were long awaited friends requests that were not accepted by me, due to an oversight.

I have accepted all your requests, of course those who sent me.

so no more pending at the moment Smile
sorry for the delay.

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205 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Mon Sep 23, 2013 9:18 am

traderathome

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
I dont like to trade on JKH when its direction appears less certain on Technical PoV.
The Risk Reward factor is too narrow to get in to this trade.
So i dont like to burn my fingers when the Big Sharks playing their Game.
I rather wait for calm waters to get in at the right price on JKH.
It will look much easy to enter for smaller fishes like me, when all the news and other issues have subsided.

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