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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Charts & Graphs » Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

Technical Analytics & Charts (2)

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1 Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:18 am

traderathome

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
First topic message reminder :

CTCN 850/- ...can reach ?  Shocked those on buying spree ...please be patient


921 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Tue Aug 26, 2014 11:19 am

SHARK aka TAH


Expert
Expert
http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/668_1408590189052.pdf

Interesting LLUB research report by Copal.Available on CSE website.Published for the benefit of Retailers. All copyrights belong to respective owners.

922 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 8:21 pm

SHARK aka TAH


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Expert
SHARK wrote:


Since some are feeling edgy on the ASI breaking 7000 and whither ASI, i thought of doing another video on All Share Price Index.
This is not to cause you panic but to be aware of what may happen should the trend start correcting before the move towards 7500.

We should anticipate some corrections given the MACD indicating a negative divergence.

The correction could happen now or at 7500 so please have enough cash ready to load your portfolio Very Happy

SHARK

Reposting .... Very Happy

The Rise is not yet over IMO.

7200 -7600 Are critical reversal levels, I am more of a bullish toward 7600

With Shot towards 8000+ can not be discounted.

923 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:47 pm

SHARK aka TAH


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924 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Wed Aug 27, 2014 11:51 pm

SHARK aka TAH


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Expert


Nice song know... i like the rhythm

925 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 12:13 am

Eng Krishantha


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Expert
thanks shark...

926 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 5:28 am

Gintonic


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
SHARK wrote:

Nice song know... i like the rhythm
Rhythm of the music or that of the body? Laughing

927 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 9:19 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Expert
Expert
Dear Members
i did one more youtube video today on allshare price index. you need to listen to it after seeing my previous video on asi short term take.i discussed about possible reversals in that owing to neg divergence formation.
and if you see some counters have appreciated quite a lot,and i notices the market is basically looking for direction after it failed several times to break and hold 7000 key level.
this is worrying me a bit.
i still feel asi has room to go towards 7500 but 7100/7200 or 7500 are critical.
so prefer people scale down their speculative shares, market could be heading towards a pull back if this continues.
i may be wrong... just be cautios with speculative holding something i do not trade and dont encourage.
try and buy shares that have not appreciated so far.
plantation sector is one, one need to look. ans there may be other counters too.

trade with care
and
good luck

Very Happy

928 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 9:33 am

m2_yapa

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Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Watch out ODEL.N MACD divergence ! on daily charts.

929 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 9:57 am

SHARK aka TAH

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930 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:05 am

SHARK aka TAH

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This is my Fav Band in 80s
I remember my good old days in Matale


We had SLBC blaring this hit in the early morning show i guess Very Happy

931 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:08 am

SHARK aka TAH

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You can not search good songs like in the 80s .... the golden era/years of english songs.

932 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:11 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Expert
One last hit ...and i hit the highway Very Happy

933 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:41 am

RoomGirl


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
SHARK wrote:Kabba,
Regarding ASIY i think you need not worry. Could be increasing Public Holding. If you seen from below 9% as per latest it has increased to 10.5% or something in line with SEC requirements.

Thanks machang. Smile

934 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 11:16 am

VALUEPICK

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Nice songs and nice charts. We can learn something. Thank you for their effort. Better to listen to some good songs as well. Then we can pick good stocks.

Average investors should pay attention to margin of safety. There are risk and rewards. As we cannot monitor each and every stock in the market so we may miss some outstanding stocks. A problem is when we see pullback in some stocks or when they stagnated for a while we ignore them. When they started to rally everybody like to chase those stocks. So we have to pay premium for those stocks. For example very recently we had a chance to buy stocks in the power and oil sector. Thanks to one member here and some broker stock lists I was able to study some sectors and stocks. There are plenty of value stocks in the market. I don’t know which one to buy?  
Month of September is very crucial for the CSE. We may identify next phase of a major uptrend.

Finally I thought to screen stocks further as follows.

Stocks which had pullback ready for their major uptrend due to earnings and growth in the future
Stagnated stocks
Stocks which are having their intermediate trend up
Undervalued stocks/ sectors with good prospects
Purely due to value when compare with other stocks and market
Avoid too many trading due to picking wrong ones after selling good ones
Pay premium for stocks if we can see growth and higher earnings together with attractive value in the future as long as great value is there( there is no point of paying premium for extremely overvalued stocks)
Unpopular stocks which are having great value
Stocks which are in the accumulation stage(They are building bases now)

In a major up trend following stocks should pass following psychological barriers. Even this can happen before September.

JKH/SAMP

Rs.250

COMB

Rs.150

This market will give opportunity for growth and momentum market players too depend on how they identify growth and momentum and how long they want to stay in the market. One day play can make huge losses. Because most of the times one day play is unpredictable.   Good luck.

http://realmoney.thestreet.com/articles/06/26/2012/intelligent-speculation-no-brainer

'Intelligent Speculation' Is a No-Brainer

Please do home work before buy and sell stocks. My writings are not investment advice.

935 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 5:56 pm

NC

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Expert - Technical Analysis
@NC wrote:
SHARK wrote:
@ shark, I see bullish bat on lgl.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]
AB leg is the retracement of 0.5 of XA leg.
BC leg is the retracement of 0.76 of AB leg
CD leg is the extension of 1.61 of BC leg.
Blue pichfork is standard and LML @ 34 (SUP)( I also keep believing this LML may not break)
Red Line is the LML of Schiff pitchfork @ 33.5 (Sup)
D point is around November -December.
correct me if I'm wrong with this pattern. However, this pattern may fail break of AC leg.

Note: This chart is for only educational purpose and not representing any buy/sell recommendation or any such hint.

Bullish bat failed in public. Very Happy Razz


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

936 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 6:03 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Expert
Expert
My pattern ok Very Happy

937 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Thu Aug 28, 2014 6:10 pm

NC

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Expert - Technical Analysis
SHARK wrote:My pattern ok Very Happy

Very Happy Very Happy heheh Your bearish bat won !! But I'm also a winner, Still holding half a lot lgl.x with a good profit Very Happy cheers


_________________
" Letting your emotions override your plan or system is the biggest cause of failure. So, If you can't deal with emotion, get out of trading. "

938 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 9:45 am

SHARK aka TAH

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This is another chart on LIOC

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

939 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:02 am

SHARK aka TAH

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From 42.50 ~ 44Rs could be testing times for LIOC Very Happy
If LIOC in short run stay above 45 i mean closing basis, then Rs 53 stays a clear target Very Happy


940 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:36 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Cup with Handle (Continuation)

The Cup with Handle is a bullish continuation pattern that marks a consolidation period followed by a breakout. It was developed by William O'Neil and introduced in his 1988 book, How to Make Money in Stocks.

As its name implies, there are two parts to the pattern: the cup and the handle. The cup forms after an advance and looks like a bowl or rounding bottom. As the cup is completed, a trading range develops on the right hand side and the handle is formed. A subsequent breakout from the handle's trading range signals a continuation of the prior advance.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]


   Trend: To qualify as a continuation pattern, a prior trend should exist. Ideally, the trend should be a few months old and not too mature. The more mature the trend, the less chance that the pattern marks a continuation or the less upside potential.

   Cup: The cup should be “U” shaped and resemble a bowl or rounding bottom. A “V” shaped bottom would be considered too sharp of a reversal to qualify. The softer “U” shape ensures that the cup is a consolidation pattern with valid support at the bottom of the “U”. The perfect pattern would have equal highs on both sides of the cup, but this is not always the case.

   Cup Depth: Ideally, the depth of the cup should retrace 1/3 or less of the previous advance. However, with volatile markets and over-reactions, the retracement could range from 1/3 to 1/2. In extreme situations, the maximum retracement could be 2/3, which conforms with Dow Theory.

   Handle: After the high forms on the right side of the cup, there is a pullback that forms the handle. Sometimes this handle resembles a flag or pennant that slopes downward, other times it is just a short pullback. The handle represents the final consolidation/pullback before the big breakout and can retrace up to 1/3 of the cup's advance, but usually not more. The smaller the retracement, the more bullish the formation and significant the breakout. Sometimes it is prudent to wait for a break above the resistance line established by the highs of the cup.

   Duration: The cup can extend from 1 to 6 months, sometimes longer on weekly charts. The handle can be from 1 week to many weeks and ideally completes within 1-4 weeks.

   Volume: There should be a substantial increase in volume on the breakout above the handle's resistance.

   Target: The projected advance after breakout can be estimated by measuring the distance from the right peak of the cup to the bottom of the cup.

As with most chart patterns, it is more important to capture the essence of the pattern than the particulars. The cup is a bowl-shaped consolidation and the handle is a short pullback followed by a breakout with expanding volume. A cup retracement of 62% may not fit the pattern requirements, but a particular stock's pattern may still capture the essence of the Cup with Handle.

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Trend: EMC[EMC] established the bull trend by advancing from 10 and change to above 30 in about 5 months. The stock peaked in March and then began to pull back and consolidate its large gains.

Cup: The April decline was quite sharp, but the lows extended over a two month period to form the bowl that marked a consolidation period. Also note that support was found from the Feb-99 lows.

Cup Depth: The low of the cup retraced 42% of the previous advance. After an advance in June and July, the stock peaked at 32.69 to complete the cup (red arrow).

Handle: Another consolidation period began in July to start the handle formation. There was a sharp decline in August that caused the handle to retrace more than 1/3 of the cup's advance. However, there was a quick recovery and the stock traded back up within the normal handle boundaries within a week. I believe the essence of the formation remained valid after this sharp decline.

Duration: The cup extended for about 3 months and the handle for about 1 1/2 months.

Volume: In early Sept-00, the stock broke handle resistance with a gap up and volume expansion (green arrow). In addition, Chaikin Money Flow soared above +20%.

Target: The projected advance after breakout was estimated at 9 points from the breakout around 32. EMC easily fulfilled this target over the next few months.

http://stockcharts.com/school/doku.php?id=chart_school:chart_analysis:chart_patterns:cup_with_handle_continuation

941 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 12:15 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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How would i relate LIOC to the above pattern.

From Next monday onwards from 42.5 LIOC will appreciate equivalent to Div amount 1.50.

We have 12 days for this appreciation.
Then on XD date it pulls back from 44 or 45 levels back to 42.5 support and within few days LIOC will close the GAP created on XD effect.

Any comments .....

Could be a classic Cup & Handle pattern formation in the making Very Happy

So the target of 53-55 will realise in a month or 2. Its a 25% return to the upside.

942 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 1:15 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Check with ASIY Very Happy

[You must be registered and logged in to see this image.]

Target 4.10

943 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 2:03 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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944 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 3:12 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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My Gem is LIOC

1st target 55Rs
2nd target 75Rs

Deal or No Deal Very Happy

945 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 3:18 pm

Nitro 7


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Isn't CDB better?

946 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 3:20 pm

ShiraBoy


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Dear SHARK, Really appreciate your efforts. Could you please explain the future of BIL.N using chart ?

947 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 5:35 pm

VALUEPICK

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948 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:02 pm

THILANGAF


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
SHARK wrote:My Gem is LIOC

1st target 55Rs
2nd target 75Rs

Deal or No Deal Very Happy

I really appreciate your technical explanations .I am also more positive about LIOC and I am collecting shares @ current levels. previously I was collecting @ 26 and exited @ 42 .

I also feel according financial reports it should reach 80/- levels within one year time. see the annual report there are many positives.
My question is why shark holding only 10000 shares you should have much more than 10000 isn't it???

949 technical analytics & charts on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:39 pm

yellow knife


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@THILANGAF wrote:
SHARK wrote:My Gem is LIOC

1st target 55Rs
2nd target 75Rs

Deal or No Deal Very Happy

I really appreciate your technical explanations .I am also more positive about LIOC and I am collecting shares @ current levels. previously  I was collecting @ 26 and exited @ 42 .

I also feel according financial reports it should reach 80/- levels within one year time. see the annual report there are many positives.
My question is why shark holding only 10000 shares you should have much more than 10000 isn't it???


I really appreciate sharks efforts regarding technical.. AF present 50% of my portfolio belongs to LIOC. I like to collect more by selling some others shares and increase my interest on LIOC

950 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:40 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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I hold 27950 Very Happy now

951 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:41 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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SHARK wrote:My Gem is LIOC

1st target 55Rs
2nd target 75Rs

Deal or No Deal Very Happy

Target 3 = 100Rs

952 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:42 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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They expect a growth of 7-8% this year.... if all go well we are looking 100Rs+

953 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:44 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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The LIOC will be global reach in Vietnam Indonesia etc... I plan to collect more..... in the near future

954 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 6:57 pm

yellow knife


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
I really like to know who sold the big quantities last few days.. I think that should be Government related investments like EPF,NSB etc... If so why did they sell? Who were the lucky buyers who collected in large quantities last few days.

955 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 7:12 pm

Antonym

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Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
"Because of the broad market implications and forceful nature of new 52-week highs, market technicians keep a close eye on this statistic. The field of technical analysis has designed a number of indicators to grade the underlying momentum created by the events driving the market in either direction...

"When shares of a publicly traded company hit a new high for the year, everyone involved can rest assured that things are on the right track. Not only are investors rewarded, but the work of the company's CEO, executives and employees is validated. All this optimism in the business attracts new attention from traders and institutional investors looking to capitalize on the stock's momentum.

"Rallies from a new 52-week high can be explosive, picking up steam as traders migrate to stocks that are making a consistent profit. If the broader market begins to see many shares making new highs, that has the power to drive most everything up, squeezing short sellers and igniting a rally - perhaps even a new bull market."


- Investopedia

956 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 7:24 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Wow Antonym......

IPO price was 56Rs.... we saw the worst to drawdown to Rs15/-.
Technically thats taken rounding bottom.
I could be too bullish, but want to remain focus calm on LIOC.
The difference is around 40Rs to the upper on break out.
This will bring closer to 95-96 levels...
The onus is over 56Rs this territory has never been treaded....which compliment Antonym statement quoted from Investopedia Very Happy
Yes its a long way....there can be many things to happen...
However i am thinking once most expansion and growth strategies are well in place and taken off ..... we should be safe and sound if precise entry points are considered.

Good luck
SHARK

957 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 7:27 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Let me talk no more on LIOC as it would amount to gross violation of promotion and ethics Very Happy

So to square things off how about LIOC hitting 30-35 Bucks a share Very Happy

Happy Weekend.... Laughing
SHARK

958 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 7:36 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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@yellow knife wrote:I really like to know who sold the big quantities last few days.. I think that should be Government related investments like EPF,NSB etc... If  so why did they sell? Who were the lucky buyers who collected in large quantities last few days.
YK, I think personally we should not think too much on the Big Fund exits or entry.If we understand and see the growth of the company.. we should go ahead and invest. With Big Funds we dont know their strategies for exiting and we dont want to know unless there is some inside trading taking place. The expansion drive debt situation all look positive, CAGR over 7 year period is above 10%. The outlook on rapid development in Asia region are some positives i see for 2014 and ahead, entry into new territory specially vietnam and indonesia are good signs if works out well.
These expansive initiatives will require huge capital to generate internally and or externally... with low interest rates would be advantageous..... so i am considering LIOC is still in early growth stage Very Happy
The Price mechanism and bunkering are 2 concerns at the moment as per their latest AR, which i presume will be well taken care of in time to come.

959 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 8:00 pm

dineshfernando


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Dear Shark, It is very nice to hear about LIOC reaching 100/=. I hold quite a lot of this around 25000 shares and hoping to increase my stake.

I think short term target may be 3 to 6 months can be 55/=.
Achieving Rs. 100 needs a lot and depends lot on micro and macro economic conditions especially for a company like LIOC.

960 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 8:16 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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We have seen companies from the past, when micro macro were at worst ne Very Happy
This should be some taking,but i am very optimistic on LIOC in next 4-5 years maxxa

961 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 8:34 pm

am22


Stock Analytic
Stock Analytic
Dear SHARK what about PABC ?

Did you analyse technical indicators of PABC?

Will it move up soon?
How long does it take to move up ?

962 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Fri Aug 29, 2014 10:09 pm

SHARK aka TAH

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Uploaded 2 Research reports.

Nestle & SLT
Please visit Research Section

963 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 30, 2014 11:04 am

SHARK aka TAH

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There was DIAL and Another LLUB ....

So do some reading in the week-end Very Happy

964 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 30, 2014 11:07 am

SHARK aka TAH

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Expert
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Spend Time with your Family ...dont let CSE emotionally drain you ...... You need to take care of the Family and Kids and your Mom Dad ......

SHARK

965 Re: Technical Analytics & Charts (2) on Sat Aug 30, 2014 11:19 am

SHARK aka TAH

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http://appleinsider.com/articles/14/08/28/apple-announces-sept-9-event-for-expected-iphone-6-iwatch-unveiling-wish-we-could-say-more

Apple announces Sept. 9 event for expected 'iPhone 6' & 'iWatch' unveiling: 'Wish we could say more'

Breaking By AppleInsider Staff
Apple on Thursday confirmed that it will hold a media event on Sept. 9, with a teaser sent to members of the media showcasing the date and a teasing tagline that reads: "Wish we could say more."




In a change from years past, Apple's 2014 September event will be held at the Flint Center for the Performing Arts in Cupertino, Calif. Apple typically holds its annual iPhone event at the Yerba Buena Center in San Francisco, but this year's venue is closer to the company's corporate headquarters and can also accommodate three times as many people.

The Tuesday event will begin at 10 a.m. Pacific, 1 p.m. Eastern. AppleInsider will be there with full, live coverage.

In addition to the "iPhone 6," Apple is also expected to unveil a brand new wearable device at this year's event. The hardware is rumored to be a wrist-worn accessory that has come to be known as the "iWatch."

"iWatch" concept by Martin Hajek.


Word of the anticipated inclusion of the "iWatch" at the event leaked this week and is somewhat of a surprise, as it was originally expected that the device would be unveiled later this year. The Sept. 9 event date was first reported by Re/code earlier this month.

Unsurprising, however, is the likely unveiling of the "iPhone 6," as the event will come almost exactly one year after the iPhone 5s and iPhone 5c were revealed. This year's iPhone upgrade is rumored to come in two screen sizes of 4.7 and 5.5 inches with a faster next-generation "A8" processor.

Alleged 4.7-inch and 5.5-inch iPhone 6 mockups with iPhone 5s. | Source: TechSmartt via YouTube


If Apple follows its usual release schedule, the new iPhone would find its way into the hands of consumers starting the following Friday, Sept. 19. With a plethora of parts leaks surfacing in recent weeks, particularly for the purported 4.7-inch model, it's believed that Apple is already ramping up production of the "iPhone 6."

Less certain, however, is when the "iWatch" might become available. As of yet, there have been no parts leaked for the expected wearable accessory, and rumored details about the device's design have been inconsistent on everything from shape to screen size.

It's also likely that iOS 8, Apple's next-generation operating system, will launch to the public not long after the Sept. 9 event. If the company follows the same pattern as last year, iOS 8 would become available to the public on Wednesday, Sept. 17.

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