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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » John Keells to make warrent worthwile

John Keells to make warrent worthwile

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1 John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 12:50 pm

EquityChamp

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Moderator
As predicted it seems that JKH has started its move towards 180 by September. This is a must if warrent need to be converted. A deal worth 3mn already done.

So you can guess the ASPI by September.

2 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 1:05 pm

VALUEPICK

avatar
Expert
Expert
Building base around Rs.160 for JKH is very important as it is one of the important barriers for it.

3 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 1:57 pm

EquityChamp

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Moderator
The JKH charge today provided the needed direction to the market. So now it is clear the market is into a bull trend. So when JKH reach 180 in September ASPI possibly hit 6900 the level at which both the ASPI and JKH were in @ the begining of this year.

4 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 3:42 pm

cse.newbie


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Yes, remeber the last year when it was close to warrant 22 conversion, the company with major shareholders involved in this process.

I remember a recent post in this forum saying JKH.W will fade away but the company (specially JKH) will not risk/fail their shareholders... And even if they dont want conversion money they will give it out as dividends, there is no problem in that rather than making the warrant conversion a failure...

I saw a big buying interest today... Big buy orders...

5 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 4:31 pm

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
3 million foreign selling though

6 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 6:03 pm

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@SupunD wrote:3 million foreign selling though
Nearly 4million JKH shares were transacted out of which 2.67million foreign selling. 

According to Stock Charting:

MACD 1.64 (indicating future upward movement)

Signal line 0.94

MACD-Histogram in (+)ve territory 0.70

Indicating BUY SIGNAL.

Even though 2.67million shares have changed hands from foreigners to locals, based on Stock Charting signal one has to conclude that it was smart buying knowing the probable upward momentum of the share. Access to information is another obvious factor which needs no elaboration. 
JKH turning bullish is an indicator of the overall market sentiment.

Relevant Info:
"The nature of information does not have to be limited to financial news and research alone; indeed, information about political, economic and social events, combined with how investors perceive such information, whether true or rumored, will be reflected in the stock price".
(source: Investopedia)

7 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 7:05 pm

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Of course, even looking at JKH graph relative to  blue chip stocks would clearly highlight the mispricing in the stock.

8 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 7:10 pm

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
The company is also working hard in order to get the Casino approval back. Given the government's track record, it won't be that hard to get things back to the initial plan.

9 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 7:16 pm

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@SupunD wrote:The company is also working hard in order to get the Casino approval back. Given the government's track record, it won't be that hard to get things back to the initial plan.

10 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 7:32 pm

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
JKH Daily technical charting indicators are as follows.

RSI (14) - 69
STOCH (9,6) - 61
MACD (12,26) - 1.5
ADX (14) - 34.1
CCI (14) - 191.9
Highs/Lows (14) - 4.7
Ultimate Oscillator - 63.8
ROC - 6.2
Bull/Bear power (13) - 6.9

All these together indicates a STRONG BUY. This time sure JKH will target 180+ by September.

11 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 10, 2016 8:10 pm

cseguide

avatar
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics

12 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon May 30, 2016 2:29 pm

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic

13 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon May 30, 2016 2:56 pm

troy

avatar
Moderator
Fair value as per SOPT is RS 170. Think the value of the Warrant... I consider a holding period of 1 month, where JKH W can give you a profit of 100% if bought now alien alien alien 

This is my reading of the situation. Its a simple plan. Sell your chicken/finance stocks. Buy JKH W.

14 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon May 30, 2016 3:43 pm

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
troyFair value as per SOPT is RS 170. Think the value of the Warrant... I consider a holding period of 1 month, where JKH W can give you a profit of 100% if bought now alien alien alien 

This is my reading of the situation. Its a simple plan. Sell your chicken/finance stocks. Buy JKH W.

 I doubt the validity of your argument. JKH W is too overvalued. To be precise, there is no intrinsic value in the warrant.

15 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon May 30, 2016 4:25 pm

troy

avatar
Moderator
You should read the report you have published earlier...???

FV JKH RS 170
Conversion of JKH W Rs 149

So FV for JKH W ???? Simple maths...

16 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue May 31, 2016 4:22 am

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
troyYou should read the report you have published earlier...???

FV JKH RS 170
Conversion of JKH W Rs 149

So FV for JKH W ???? Simple maths...
With the current market condition, it's hard to expect that stock will reach the intrinsic value within the warrant conversion time. Rather the intrinsic value, investors need to consider whether the warrant has value or not.

17 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon Jun 06, 2016 11:56 pm

Hawk Eye

avatar
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
In April JKH-W 23 traded 3.4 Mn shares at lowest 9.90 and high at 14.50

In April JKH-W 23 traded 6.08 Mn shares at lowest 11.00 and high at 16.70

Subdivision in June and Warrant exercising in November is the reason for above hype imo. in June the share prices started sliding back again to 10-11 range.

Will this go up? Why? How much?

18 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue Jun 07, 2016 2:03 pm

Hawk Eye

avatar
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Hawk Eye wrote:In April JKH-W 23 traded 3.4 Mn shares at lowest 9.90 and high at 14.50

In April JKH-W 23 traded 6.08 Mn shares at lowest 11.00 and high at 16.70

Subdivision in June and Warrant exercising in November is the reason for above hype imo. in June the share prices started sliding back again to 10-11 range.

Will this go up? Why? How much?


506,000 traded today, A shoerterm trading opportunity developing , as the previous 2 months it was touching high as 14.50-16.70

19 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue Jun 07, 2016 2:10 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Hawk Eye wrote:
@Hawk Eye wrote:In April JKH-W 23 traded 3.4 Mn shares at lowest 9.90 and high at 14.50

In April JKH-W 23 traded 6.08 Mn shares at lowest 11.00 and high at 16.70

Subdivision in June and Warrant exercising in November is the reason for above hype imo. in June the share prices started sliding back again to 10-11 range.

Will this go up? Why? How much?


506,000 traded today, A shoerterm trading opportunity developing , as the previous 2 months it was touching high as 14.50-16.70
yes,someone cleared upto 11.4 today

20 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue Jun 07, 2016 2:13 pm

troy

avatar
Moderator
yeah... look at the order book. a nice base is developing...

21 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Wed Jun 08, 2016 10:11 am

SupunD


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Unless the company comes up with a new story such as casino approval, it is most likely that they may amend the warrant conversion date. They could justify the extension of the conversion due to the delay in the construction work.

22 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Jun 09, 2016 1:25 pm

Hawk Eye

avatar
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Hawk Eye wrote:
@Hawk Eye wrote:In April JKH-W 23 traded 3.4 Mn shares at lowest 9.90 and high at 14.50

In April JKH-W 23 traded 6.08 Mn shares at lowest 11.00 and high at 16.70

Subdivision in June and Warrant exercising in November is the reason for above hype imo. in June the share prices started sliding back again to 10-11 range.

Will this go up? Why? How much?


506,000 traded today, A shoerterm trading opportunity developing , as the previous 2 months it was touching high as 14.50-16.70
I am also highlighting the lows and highs it swinging time to time, giving a % wise massive return...todays low is 10.50 and high is 11.30..almost a 7.6% appreciation when it touches a low..and could give more than 50-60% return if it runs back to previous levels

But highly risky

23 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Jun 09, 2016 1:32 pm

NZ BOY

avatar
Moderator
@Hawk Eye wrote:
@Hawk Eye wrote:
@Hawk Eye wrote:In April JKH-W 23 traded 3.4 Mn shares at lowest 9.90 and high at 14.50

In April JKH-W 23 traded 6.08 Mn shares at lowest 11.00 and high at 16.70

Subdivision in June and Warrant exercising in November is the reason for above hype imo. in June the share prices started sliding back again to 10-11 range.

Will this go up? Why? How much?


506,000 traded today, A shoerterm trading opportunity developing , as the previous 2 months it was touching high as 14.50-16.70
I am also highlighting the lows and highs it swinging time to time, giving a % wise massive return...todays low is 10.50 and high is 11.30..almost a 7.6% appreciation when it touches a low..and could give more than 50-60% return if it runs back to previous levels

But highly risky
Nicely Playing This Will Give Good Return They Collected More from Panic Sellers

24 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Jun 09, 2016 1:45 pm

NZ BOY

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Moderator


Look Fake Selling Collecting Nicely

25 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Jun 09, 2016 1:46 pm

fireshelter

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Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
JKH NEED CASH TO BUILD WATERFRONT Project

26 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Jun 09, 2016 1:53 pm

NZ BOY

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Moderator
@fireshelter wrote:JKH NEED CASH TO BUILD WATERFRONT Project
Yes

27 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon Jun 13, 2016 10:32 am

Hawk Eye

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Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Good buying pressure building up with JKH.N...

28 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon Jun 13, 2016 10:45 am

fireshelter

avatar
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Very Happy Very Happy

29 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Mon Jun 13, 2016 10:56 am

troy

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Moderator
JKH to pass Rs 170 by share split date. Cant disclose the source but sky is the limit.

30 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Wed Jul 20, 2016 11:57 am

EquityChamp

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Moderator
Target was to hit 180/- by September. with the split the target is 157.50. By then the warrent should be traded for 8.20/- Now JKH-W23 is 7.40 and room for upmove is 11% where as for JKH N the room for upmove is 9%. Trade on these two securities objectively.

31 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Wed Jul 20, 2016 12:01 pm

gayanath1983

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Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
yes EC

32 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Thu Aug 11, 2016 8:13 am

EquityChamp

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Moderator
As of yesterday JKH reached 152.4 and JKH-W23 reached 7.1. Now the intrinsic value of JKH-W23 turned to positive as it is valued for Rs3.10 based on the difference between closing price and the conversion price. But still at the current price the warrant is overvalued by Rs4. However keep your eyes and watch whether JKH reach my target of 157.5 which should happen if the price appreciate by another 3.3%. At the moment it happens the warrant should reach 8.20 which means a potential appreciation of 15%. Keep an eye on this to see whether this opportunity arises in the coming days. If it does that creates a room for risk free profit.

Be alert guys.
Thanks

33 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Fri Aug 12, 2016 11:25 am

EquityChamp

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Moderator
Its 155.80 and W is 7.4. Remember my prediction.

34 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Fri Aug 12, 2016 11:28 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:Its 155.80 and W is 7.4. Remember my prediction.


super Trader sold at 1.5-2.0 and ask every body to sale it. and dropping ASI 2000 points

mathak weddi paw kiyala hithenawa.........

35 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue Aug 16, 2016 10:01 am

EquityChamp

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Moderator
Remember my target. Now JKH N is 158 meaning JKH W has an intrinsic value of 8.7. JKH W is trading at 7.5.

36 Re: John Keells to make warrent worthwile on Tue Aug 16, 2016 11:24 am

NZ BOY

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Moderator
@EquityChamp wrote:Remember my target. Now JKH N is 158 meaning JKH W has an intrinsic value of 8.7. JKH W is trading at 7.5.
Exactly Im a Risk taker and I love it Same thing happen Last year

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