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Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

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Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Tue Jun 07, 2016 8:18 am

The stock is very very bullish. Unable to do a further study because the cse.lk site is bullshit these days.


Last edited by EquityChamp on Fri Oct 07, 2016 6:45 am; edited 2 times in total
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kumarweerarathne on Tue Jun 07, 2016 8:41 am

Dividend declared, good profits,company enhanced,GSP+ on da way.. What else?? 45+ midterm.:-)

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Teller on Tue Jun 07, 2016 1:19 pm

Have some exports companies shares. GSP Plus is possible this time.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Wed Jun 08, 2016 7:48 am

After a huge battle with CSE website managed to get some info for a detailed analysis. You can refer below table for a summary and FY 2016/17 forecast.
 2010/112011/122012/132013/142014/152015/162016/17F
Turnover     9,285   12,364   10,951   12,725   13,678   17,830     19,613
GP margin11.7%10.3%11.6%11.5%11.9%16.9%16.0%
Net profits        685         629      1,016      1,153      1,332      2,172        2,354
NP margin7.4%5.1%9.3%9.1%9.7%12.2%12.0%
EPS         1.2          1.0          1.6          1.8          2.0          3.1            3.4
DPS 0.481.241.31.31.6         1.70
DY %   8.2%5.4%5.0%4.6%
PER              -               -           9.0        11.9        10.2          11.0
As you can see in the above table TJL has consistently maintain a healthy profit margin till 2014/15. In the year 2015/16 the margin jumps to 17%, a 5pp increase over last year as well the revenue leapfrog by 30%. The jump had mainly happen in Q2 and Q3 where LKR depreciated heavily. Subsequently in Q4 (Jan-Mar 16 period) I observed a decline in revenue QoQ where the LKR depreciation was by only 0.6 rupees. This clearly shows that FY 2015/16 is clearly benefitted to TJL by LKR depreciation and as a result huge improvement in share price as well.
Next year I won't see such a depreciation in LKR so that any revenue growth to be of normal growth in business volumes but margins going to be same. Therefore I expect a PAT of 2.35bn for next year. In terms of valuations, the share is currently trading @ a PE of11x @ CMP which is equal to their historical average PE. This means that the share is currently trading @ a fair price and so short term gains will be very low based on intrinsic value method. However given their strong annual growth earnings outlook in the longer term we can expect an annual compound growth rate of 10% for the stock price subject to positive overall market growth momentum. Also you can expect an annual DY of 5% which is very attractive compared to market DY. This stock is recommended for value investors who are willing to build a long term-growing portfolio.

Thanks
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kumarweerarathne on Wed Jun 08, 2016 7:54 am

Fantastic,, hats off for ur effort.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Chinwi on Wed Jun 08, 2016 8:39 am

Few months ago I thought EC is reappearing of SLS in new identity king
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Yahapalanaya on Wed Jun 08, 2016 9:13 am

Goodwork EC.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Wed Jun 08, 2016 9:30 am

Chinwi wrote:Few months ago I thought EC is reappearing of SLS in new  identity king
EquityChamp was a profile created initially with a fondness to participate actively in this Forum. Later on I identified how it was in the past and from there to current state. I understood and research how the past giants were contributing. People like SLS,Small, etc were fantastic fundamental analysts and people like Shark,RPPA etc were fantastic technical analysts. So I decided EquityChamp profile should be positioned as an ideal blend of fundamental as well as technical analysis with a little bit flavor on humor.

So from there to now you see how the profile of EC evolves. If the members getting any advantage from it then I am more than happy.

Thanks
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kumarweerarathne on Wed Jun 08, 2016 11:57 am

This is the best and safer share in CSE currently coz of Many reasons.. So get in to it quckly before it accelerates .. :-)
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by charith666lk on Wed Jun 08, 2016 12:01 pm

EquityChamp wrote:
Chinwi wrote:Few months ago I thought EC is reappearing of SLS in new  identity king
EquityChamp was a profile created initially with a fondness to participate actively in this Forum. Later on I identified how it was in the past and from there to current state. I understood and research how the past giants were contributing. People like SLS,Small, etc were fantastic fundamental analysts and people like Shark,RPPA etc were fantastic technical analysts. So I decided EquityChamp profile should be positioned as an ideal blend of fundamental as well as technical analysis with a little bit flavor on humor.

So from there to now you see how the profile of EC evolves. If the members getting any advantage from it then I am more than happy.

Thanks
Hats of dear EC

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Suranga malli on Wed Jun 08, 2016 9:01 pm

Den okka Maximum udata geela thiyenne..GSP magula denna kalin appahu okka pahalata ei...
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Wed Jun 08, 2016 10:09 pm

Technical charts indicate TJL is in overbought condition though the daily and weekly charts show a buy signal. Better thing is to allow some time to cool-off the heat. May be it will stabilize around 35.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by crnsuranjith on Wed Jun 08, 2016 11:15 pm

https://www.facebook.com/harshadesilvaunp/videos/806164702846843/

Dear EC,

How much discount (%) get for GSP+ and Did you consider it for your FY 2016/17 forecast ?

Thank you.

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Teller on Wed Jun 08, 2016 11:23 pm

Price can drop to 34.50 but we don't know how will react by foreign party and GSP Plus.
99% GSP Plus is sure so accordingly flying 45/- also possible.
In approximately TJL has given me 13-14 lakh dividend income since I invested on it.
I respect TJL management, staff who dedicated to my return
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kumarweerarathne on Wed Jun 08, 2016 11:56 pm

If it come down to 35, what an oppurtunity to buy back.. i feel it wont come down to dat below by looking at its trading pattern. This is nt a fake run, dividend declared, GSP + soon. & Dnt forget ,having GSP + or not This share was driven by its consistent growth over the past few years. So nothing to worry about GSP factor, jst hold.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by crnsuranjith on Thu Jun 09, 2016 2:28 am

it is heading to 40 by this Friday.

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Suranga malli on Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:15 pm

crnsuranjith wrote:it is heading to 40 by this Friday.
Share price ekkak ehema wedi kapu widiyata Ehema yanne bang...Okko 34 rata  33 ta wage ei...GSP lebunoth 40++ Sure..
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kumarweerarathne on Thu Jun 09, 2016 10:55 pm

Balan hitapan oka 34 ta enakan.. Razz
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Suranga malli on Thu Jun 09, 2016 11:00 pm

Ei malli awulda...??
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Suranga malli on Fri Jun 10, 2016 8:42 pm

kumarweerarathne wrote:Balan hitapan oka 34 ta enakan.. Razz
Malli kohamada okka pahalata awe...34 rata ei sure...
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by cruiserdude on Tue Jun 14, 2016 10:23 am

Guys,
Can the American political scenario be an effect to TJL in long run? Specially if someone like Donald trump wins the election. I beleive America is one of the countries that buys our garments and Trump is a person who beleives in manufacturing in country than outsourcing.

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Tue Aug 02, 2016 9:45 am

TJL showing strong signs of surpassing 40/- level. It is a solid investment for long term investors.
GL.
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by EquityChamp on Tue Aug 02, 2016 9:49 am

1st quarter profits shot up by 93% due to strong growth in revenue. Looks like they are going to beat my forecast Shocked
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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by kadik on Mon Aug 29, 2016 12:28 pm

it's almost ready for the next run up to 42-43

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Re: Teejay Jersey Lanka PLC - Depreciated Rupee had a very positive impact

Post by Teller on Mon Aug 29, 2016 8:49 pm

This is the best share I invested in my life with average cost per share around 8/- rupees. Dividend received nearly total capital invested.
Well done TJL
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