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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » BFL Head and Shoulder Patten

BFL Head and Shoulder Patten

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1BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:49 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl-hs10

2BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:54 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Maize_10
During last Month Maize price up to 188 levels also. now again it start to drop hopefully next two week it will touch around 150. this is very good for GRAN, TAFL , CIC and BFL

these counters are massive undervalue. and all other technical indicates buying. these counters move very fast according to ASI

3BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Sun Jul 03, 2016 10:44 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
breaking 185-186 level is key point.

any ideas from members...

4BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Mon Jul 04, 2016 6:42 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
this is what i seen in BFL Annual report.


Our joint-venture feedmill commenced production in June 2016 and this now enables us to have a total vertical integration of our poultry production operations

5BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 3:02 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
time to analyse Chicken family. Specially BFL

6BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 3:13 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
latest analysis is head shoulder and mouth pattern

7BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 3:35 pm

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
To me it looks like 'AMUDE' pattern.BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Icon_lol

8BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 4:52 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:To me it looks like 'AMUDE' pattern.BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Icon_lol
AMUDA dekak

9BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 5:20 pm

worthiness


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Hard to read & understand the H&S pattern unless someone explains it clearly.....Is this pattern only for BFL? How about TAFL & GRAN?

10BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Tue Jul 05, 2016 5:27 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
read this.
either side of your head theres one shoulder below and parallel.

http://www.babypips.com/school/middle-school/important-chart-patterns/head-and-shoulders.html

11BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Wed Jul 06, 2016 6:17 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
keep on eye.

12BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Wed Jul 06, 2016 11:35 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Updates...

BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl410

13BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 07, 2016 9:58 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Updates...

BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl510

14BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 07, 2016 10:40 pm

A+


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
BFL will be a solid stocks during next two quarters. No doubt.

15BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 07, 2016 10:52 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl610

16BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 21, 2016 10:59 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl_0810

Maize Price is same level more-than two weeks. it will be fall to 150 level also. last month it 189 level.

we can see positive outlook for Chicken stock.

Good Performance.

17BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 21, 2016 11:10 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@nimantha80 wrote:
@samaritan wrote:To me it looks like 'AMUDE' pattern.BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Icon_lol
AMUDA dekak


heta thunweni Amude set weiy ganata.

ita passe ithin break-out eken passe Ding Ding thama udata

mama dannawa Head and Shoulder eka complete naha kiyala

heta complete weiy ethakota balaganna. amudea harida kiyala

18BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Thu Jul 21, 2016 11:51 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl_0910


Breaking 185 level is very key point. next technical barrier is around 230

Key Point
1)Fundamentally support
2)ASI on Bull mode
3) Technical support

think and invest
price what you pay value what you get.....

19BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 1:52 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
Still I am not satisfying with BFL result . net profit margin is fewer than required. It posted this revenue with other income not from the core businesses. I don't feel much interest to enter these shares. Once 3 Indian poultry companies come with ETCA , they are expecting produce 2million kg per month.
How ever want to think twice before playing with innocent animals lives.
Don't think money is every thing...all the animals have a right to survive.

20BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 2:24 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:Still I am not satisfying with BFL result . net profit margin is fewer than required. It posted this revenue with other income not from the core businesses.  I don't feel much interest to enter these shares. Once 3 Indian poultry companies come with ETCA , they are expecting produce 2million kg per month.
How ever want to think twice before playing with innocent animals lives.
Don't think money is every thing...all the animals have a right to survive.


I remember i request Link from you about Indian companies. still you didnt give it.

Share of Profit from Joint Venture Companies :- this income is Regular in come but still it 3 millions

next quarters
Share of Profit from Associate Company
Share of Profit from Joint Venture Companies 

 these two performing very well. according to previous year tax ratio (76 Millions for entire Year income taxes)

but this quarter nearly 37 Millions (last year same quarter Nearly 13 Millions)and finance cost is up  nearly 6 million. they can improve it very easily

key points
Price Band increase and nearly 30 Rupees up.
New factory will operating from June. we can expect some profit from this also.

this year also they can make over Rs 35. current price is 180 level

if you want you can collect some amount of stocks tomorrow bcz BFL has working according to technical charts.

short term 25% Possible. 

will see....

21BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 3:58 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl_1010


Logical Point of core business improvement

2015. 30.06 Quarter
EPS = 9.02
Other Operating Income = 26 Millions
Income Tax Expense = 13 Millions


2016. 30.06 Quarter
EPS = 7.43
Other Operating Income = 2 Millions
Income Tax Expense = 36 Millions

Differences 
Other Operating Income = 24 Millions
Income Tax Expense = 23 Millions

16 Millions stocks
effect of EPS =47/16 =2.9

If we compare core business EPS(2015. 30.06 Quarter and 2016. 30.06 Quarter) according to current environment 


2015. 30.06 Quarter =9.02 -2.9 =6.1
2016. 30.06 Quarter =7.43 


Key Points
they can improve core business EPS
1)New Factory (Mill operation from June)
2)Price band is increased 


feedmill :- I think they went to this option bcz to increased productions of meat and other related materials.

and Chart showing Uptrend 

22BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 4:52 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
20.07.2016 Updates

BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl_1110

23BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 5:18 am

EquityChamp

EquityChamp
Moderator
Moderator
BFL Q1 16
Revenue 955m, PBT 159m, PBT margin 16.6%

BFL Q2 16
Revenue 956m, PBT 152m, PBT margin 15.9%

QoQ almost the same revenue. Only issue was expenses have gone up a little bit. But when the revenue grows profitability should follow.

Thanks

24BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 6:06 am

TARGET


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:Still I am not satisfying with BFL result . net profit margin is fewer than required. It posted this revenue with other income not from the core businesses.  I don't feel much interest to enter these shares. Once 3 Indian poultry companies come with ETCA , they are expecting produce 2million kg per month.
How ever want to think twice before playing with innocent animals lives.
Don't think money is every thing...all the animals have a right to survive.
What a joker? We have seen how you promoted chicken in past.. Are you talking from mouth or somewhere else?  lol!

25BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 9:27 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
@Targrt, Yes you are correct. I agree with you sir,
Compare to last year I am totally different in emotionally.
There was an incident which changed my life .
Time to time people may get some decisions.
As example if a smoker stop smoking from last year to this year?
No issue we talk about investment here no need to go for personal Agendas.
How ever in BFL,TAFL and GRAN comparison GRAN should trade in a 3 digit figure with many reasons. Still GRAN is too undervalue share based on earnings nearly 200 rupee value and aset value stands around 70 so based on world market price to book value standards GRAn should be traded above 100/-.
GL

26BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Fri Jul 22, 2016 6:47 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Updates....

Some people selling chicken stocks maybe profit clearing. I am sure GRAN, BFL and TAFL give good returns. try to Buy GRAn. GRAN is undervalue compare with these two. 
BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Bfl_1210

27BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Sat Jul 23, 2016 7:25 am

TARGET


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Teller wrote:@Targrt, Yes you are correct.  I agree with you sir,
Compare to last year I am totally different in emotionally.
There was an incident which changed my life .  
Time to time people may get some decisions.
As example if a smoker stop smoking from last year to this year?
No issue we talk about investment here no need to go for personal Agendas.
How ever in BFL,TAFL and GRAN comparison GRAN should trade in a 3 digit figure with many reasons. Still GRAN is too undervalue share based on earnings nearly 200 rupee value and aset value stands around 70  so based on world market price to book value standards GRAn should be traded above 100/-.
GL
Good answer teller. I respect your view.  But promoting shares of your pf and demote all other shares is not acceptable.

28BFL Head and Shoulder Patten Empty Re: BFL Head and Shoulder Patten on Sat Jul 23, 2016 9:54 am

Teller

Teller
Moderator
Moderator
@target,
I recommended ALUM that time I didn't have any single share, I recommend GRAN but I don't have any, I critisized SFL I have some.
I promoted HEXP , I have few percentage. I recommended ALUf but I didn't have holding
So I don't have any promotional agenda. Even people are not pools to trust what I am saying always.
I may correct ,I may wrong also. We just give our opinions based on our experiences & knowledge.
In share investments you should not see one side. You have to see both sides(gain or loss).
Finally you should not love any share also. If you love you may not see its drawbacks.
You must think independently whether you hold or not it doesn't matter.
Time to time companies generate different results , based on the result we have to change the decision s.
Forcast and actual figures can have much differences.
GL

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