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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » GRAN React according to Bollinger Band

GRAN React according to Bollinger Band

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1 GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Mon Aug 22, 2016 1:06 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
First topic message reminder :

GRAN React according to Bollinger Band. its getting very narrow and from this point ASI move another 200 Units to up. GRAN will move to 120 level very easily.


Sellers want to create more pressure and try to collect at low. but technically one more rupee up. we dont see sellers. seller will be crying. 




41 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:21 am

shadow walker


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@stockback wrote:
@shadow walker wrote:
@nimantha80 wrote:anek tika denne nalu.

1.6 million order book eka.. godak welawata JAPFA 86 ta withara dhei.. dhunne nathnam sathiyak athulatha 95 ta withara yai


sathgiyakma  yaida?

are you know about CSE.

need little bit more Green market. then you will happy.

poddak wadi karala kiuwe..
sathiyak oni na.. dhawas 2 k hodhatama athi..
mathakaine kalin para 40 idan 53 ta eka dhawasin giyaa Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

42 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:25 am

shadow walker


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@stockback wrote:
@shadow walker wrote:
@nimantha80 wrote:anek tika denne nalu.

1.6 million order book eka.. godak welawata JAPFA 86 ta withara dhei.. dhunne nathnam sathiyak athulatha 95 ta withara yai


sathgiyakma  yaida?

are you know about CSE.

need little bit more Green market. then you will happy.

green market.. Laughing Laughing .. chickens don't worry about the market situation.

43 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 11:42 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Retailer dont throw your valuable shares at cheap. now this stock ready to move 120 level easily 

Keep believe about Trend.

try collect at this level.

44 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 12:05 pm

C S E 2015


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
JAPFA has another 2.1 Mn shares to sell, what would be the agreed selling price....

45 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 12:17 pm

NZ BOY


Moderator
We All Waited this must be trading above 120

46 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:40 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@C S E 2015 wrote:JAPFA has another 2.1 Mn shares to sell, what would be the agreed selling price....


I dont think now.

bcz retailers are not selling now. retailers buying now. some Day traders and JAPFA sold.

we can see end of the day.

47 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 1:47 pm

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi Guys,

JAFPA share movement during last 4 quarters.


Period 30.09.2015 31.12.2015 31.03.2016 30.06.2016 
No of Shares 6,052,829 5,041,909 4,652,013 3,887,527 

Up to Now Total volume traded is 3,337,282 with 2 crossings traded @ Rs 80/-. 

Over the time this was the constrain for #TAFL appreciated from Rs 100/- to Rs 138/- which is 38% growth. #GRAN couldn't break psychological barrier Rs 80/-. Now all cleared and we can expect catch up.

Hence if #TAFL appreciation is adjusted #GRAN must reach Rs 110/-

Good Luck

Good Luck

48 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 6:23 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@nimantha80 wrote:band walata react wei hikss.GRAN price= JAFPA selling. simple as that.nothing is relevent


BAND eka kohoma Japfath kora. wikunanna onatharam puluwan e gollonta.

try to update today foreign activities.

49 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 23, 2016 7:11 pm

TARGET


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
It was a good prediction stockback. Thanks

50 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Wed Aug 24, 2016 11:10 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
No Foreign Selling now. GRAN will move again....

keep collecting.

51 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Fri Aug 26, 2016 2:12 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
My Prediction is with 200 Point ASI.

still 20  Points drop. and GRAN up 10 rupees 

from now another ASI 220 Point. GRAN will trade over 120 level.

very nicely collecting some one or group. another 1-2 Million stock trade touching 100 Level.

dont sale you valuable stock at cheap price. that is my advise.

52 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Fri Aug 26, 2016 7:42 am

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
Yesterday GRAN witnessed a net decrease in their foreign holding by 172, 966 shares. This trend is visible through out this week and the indications are clear.

1) The JAPFA full holding will be sold in the market
2) This entire quantity will be cleared within a specific time period that have been decided by the group who are behind this
3) The price rise will be controlled within a desired price rage as long as the group behind this collects the entire amount they are planning to have
4) Until the collection period is over the price will be gradually pushed up. They have maintained the maximum price at 80/- range for few months and now gradually shift it to 90/- level and they will keep this upper price band also for few months. If retailers enter and try to push this beyond 90s they will unload some quantities from JAPFA holding and keep the price around 90-88 range. This game will continue until they decide on the time to up the slab from 90 to 100.

So my conclusion is now investors should try to collect this below 90 and whoever buying at that price should prepare to hold few months. Short term profit expectations are not advisable.

I have collected a sizable block between the price of 84-85 and will be holding but will increase my holding even to higher level if the price come down to 85 or below due to panic sellers.

If you are interesting on this stock and if you want to earn at least 50% return then you should correctly track the game plan behind this and adjust your investment strategy accordingly.

Good luck.

53 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Fri Aug 26, 2016 8:01 am

sameboy

avatar
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
GRAN gaththa buyer up wenna denne wage , 92n uda sell karanawa, eya collect karala ewara ne thama

54 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Fri Aug 26, 2016 1:25 pm

Novice Learner


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
@EquityChamp wrote:Yesterday GRAN witnessed a net decrease in their foreign holding by 172, 966 shares. This trend is visible through out this week and the indications are clear.

1) The JAPFA full holding will be sold in the market
2) This entire quantity will be cleared within a specific time period that have been decided by the group who are behind this
3) The price rise will be controlled within a desired price rage as long as the group behind this collects the entire amount they are planning to have
4) Until the collection period is over the price will be gradually pushed up. They have maintained the maximum price at 80/- range for few months and now gradually shift it to 90/- level and they will keep this upper price band also for few months. If retailers enter and try to push this beyond 90s they will unload some quantities from JAPFA holding and keep the price around 90-88 range. This game will continue until they decide on the time to up the slab from 90 to 100.

So my conclusion is now investors should try to collect this below 90 and whoever buying at that price should prepare to hold few months. Short term profit expectations are not advisable.

I have collected a sizable block between the price of 84-85 and will be holding but will increase my holding even to higher level if the price come down to 85 or below due to panic sellers.

If you are interesting on this stock and if you want to earn at least 50% return then you should correctly track the game plan behind this and adjust your investment strategy accordingly.

Good luck.
Thank you EquityChamp

55 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Aug 27, 2016 8:06 am

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
So my analysis proved true yesterday as well. Yesterday JAPFA holdings were reduced by a minimum of 68,000 shares. So its crystal clear what is going to come and what is the game plan. If you craft your strategies with this game plan you can be a future winner. Think it several times.

Thanks

56 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Aug 27, 2016 10:16 am

pfxavier


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
Dear EC,

Do you think how long we need to hold this for to get a good profit. Until end of the year ?

Thanks

57 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Aug 27, 2016 10:53 am

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
I think you have to keep your holdings for few months may be next two quarters. This share will be pushed along with its next two financial reports.
Thanks

58 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Aug 27, 2016 1:22 pm

pure equity


Equity Analytic
Equity Analytic
thanks E C

59 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Aug 28, 2016 3:12 am

Teller

avatar
Moderator
I missed to sell it 92/- levels as I was away from the city. Plan to buy 83-84 levels again

60 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Mon Aug 29, 2016 9:32 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
JAPFA selling over?

any Idea....

61 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Mon Aug 29, 2016 9:48 pm

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
@stockback wrote:JAPFA selling over?

any Idea....

The group behind this still have some quantity. As I said their game plan is clear. Not to hurry as well as not to burry.  Very Happy

62 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Mon Aug 29, 2016 11:42 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:
@stockback wrote:JAPFA selling over?

any Idea....

The group behind this still have some quantity. As I said their game plan is clear. Not to hurry as well as not to burry.  Very Happy


if foreign buying during last week. then JAPFA does not have even one million shares. 

One Million is not a big amount to keep this level. single day buying orders can clear easily with good buying pressure. 

dont forget everyday falling Corn/Maize price in the world market.

63 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Mon Aug 29, 2016 11:55 pm

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
This is a well planned game brother. They are planning to up this to 200+ but not within a very short period like previous run but it will be gradual may be within two to three quarters along the best ever quarterly results to be released. I have an account with LOLC Securities as well. They keep on saying to collect this as much as I can but I told them I have a sizable quantity and only increase the holding if price come down below 85. Previously I collected below 74/-. Craft your game plan accordingly with patience. This time you won't go anywhere wrong.

64 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 12:18 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:This is a well planned game brother. They are planning to up this to 200+ but not within a very short period like previous run but it will be gradual may be within two to three quarters along the best ever quarterly results to be released. I have an account with LOLC Securities as well. They keep on saying to collect this as much as I can but I told them I have a sizable quantity and only increase the holding if price come down below 85. Previously I collected below 74/-. Craft your game plan accordingly with patience. This time you won't go anywhere wrong.


I feel this two.  my short term target is 120. 

next two quarters port city, GSP +, Cash inflow to CSE. all these factors will support very well

then 200 is not a dream. my target is 200K unable to collect at 80 level that much quantity. I have good quantity also. I am not selling this in short term.  

2 Millions withara ekathu kala ekkenek. egollo oya gaththe nikan thiyan inna nemeine. GAme ekak aniwarayen thiyenawa. Background ekath honda thathweka thiyenne...

65 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 12:34 am

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
Patiently put money to this. You never going to be looser. When I saw the block gone @ 80/- collected close to 30k up to 84-85. Then stopped. Also having more than that around 74. My target is to come into the top 10 shareholder list. If you look at the top 20 list some times you can see some guys are rapidly moving there Very Happy

66 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 12:44 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@EquityChamp wrote:Patiently put money to this. You never going to be looser. When I saw the block gone @ 80/- collected close to 30k up to 84-85. Then stopped. Also having more than that around 74. My target is to come into the top 10 shareholder list. If you look at the top 20 list some times you can see some guys are rapidly moving there Very Happy


I am sure i am not in there Very Happy Very Happy

67 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 1:32 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
dont sale youe GRAN stock. Game is very clear. JAPFA sold good quantity.

maybe they have another little amount. I think they will sale all quantity today

any ideas....

68 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 1:40 pm

cse.newbie


Senior Equity Analytic
Senior Equity Analytic
How much do they have after their last week sell at 80?

Today that big chunk had 750,820 shares at 90-88.10 levels.


and 1 mil crossings...

What is left?


I think if it was Jafpa, then all done.

69 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 1:43 pm

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
@stockback wrote:dont sale youe GRAN stock. Game is very clear. JAPFA sold good quantity.

maybe they have another little amount. I think they will sale all quantity today

any ideas....

I have to repeat only what I said yesterday. If you identify this game plan then aminimum of 50% profit is guaranteed.

70 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 1:47 pm

nimantha80


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
now the selling over depending on the buyer this can sky rocket?Any guesses?

71 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 2:03 pm

EquityChamp

avatar
Moderator
Its solely depends on the group who are behind this for several months now. The way stock is trading now I feel that they won't allow it to move beyond 92-93 level and may be they want to keep it within 90 range for some time more. The objective must be to mop-up all the excess market liquidity. I may be wrong but this is how I can see the proceedings.

72 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 2:44 pm

ONTHEMONEY


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
No EC!

if JAFPA remaining quantity of almost 1.4Mn shares sold today, the #GRAN market price would react tomorrow for some aggressive movement.

Few players have followed this stock and collected in tandem when it was trading around Rs 78 - 80 levels. It JAFPA fear is cleared, then it is game on for a market catch up with other poultry prices. 

We have to see the Foreigners movement today.

Good Luck

73 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Tue Aug 30, 2016 2:52 pm

kassachandimal


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
already touched 94 and over 3 million shared traded today. EC whats now. may be u are predictions will be wrong. sure japfa said bye bye to gran today

74 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Wed Aug 31, 2016 2:03 pm

NZ BOY

avatar
Moderator
They are excellent if they push today more retail selling around 100 they push sell orders around 95 collecting nicely

75 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Thu Sep 01, 2016 12:50 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
when i saying this prediction ASI is 6610, my target is ASI 6810 and GRAN trade over 120 level.

GRAN up 13 rupees, ASI drop 82 Points if ASI deop another 50-60 Units. then return back to uptrend, we have 340 Units range to move GRAN in the uptrend (minimum) 

next point. next few days GRAN move to 100-105 level and ASI drop 50-60 Points. so then what is your price target for GRAN during next uptrend.

at the moment GRAN doing most difficult thing. Market dropping and share price moving up

Think And Invest.....

76 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Fri Sep 02, 2016 10:59 am

NZ BOY

avatar
Moderator
Should be pass 100 today

77 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Sep 03, 2016 10:15 pm

sameboy

avatar
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@NZ BOY wrote:Should be pass 100 today
NZ BOY GRAN friday lokuwata seling awa neda? man nam hithanne tikak adu wei wage aye

78 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:07 pm

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@sameboy wrote:
@NZ BOY wrote:Should be pass 100 today
NZ BOY GRAN friday lokuwata seling awa neda? man nam hithanne tikak adu wei wage aye


Nearly 11 Millions stocks traded during last 10 days.

why you bother about 2-3 laks(stocks) selling. some players are short term traders.(10% Profits) these people are selling and again they will buy when they see short term 10% Profit.

Trend is already built. then no need to worry. this month GRAN will trade over 120. very easily.

GRAN trading according to bolinger band. after another 5-10 days Bolinger  Band can wide. with Demand. at that point selling pressers is very low.

looks like 2011 trading pattern is building.

this is my idea.....

79 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:24 pm

sameboy

avatar
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@stockback wrote:
@sameboy wrote:
@NZ BOY wrote:Should be pass 100 today
NZ BOY GRAN friday lokuwata seling awa neda? man nam hithanne tikak adu wei wage aye


Nearly 11 Millions stocks traded during last 10 days.

why you bother about 2-3 laks(stocks) selling. some players are short term traders.(10% Profits) these people are selling and again they will buy when they see short term 10% Profit.

Trend is already built. then no need to worry. this month GRAN will trade over 120. very easily.

GRAN trading according to bolinger band. after another 5-10 days Bolinger  Band can wide. with Demand. at that point selling pressers is very low.

looks like 2011 trading pattern is building.

this is my idea.....
Thanks stockback ur explain, selling enna gaththa nisa baya hithuna.kohamath 110n uda trade wenna one me stock eka.

80 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sat Sep 03, 2016 11:57 pm

Teller

avatar
Moderator
Agree it has a value ,how ever before next run it should touch 88.50 levels or below. Inner and out circles towards to negative.
GL

81 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Sep 04, 2016 12:14 am

stockback


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
dont worry about short term movement. if its fall to 88 level. then next run is very strong. i dont think it. 

world market Corn/Maize price dropping heavily. now 10 Years low.

සත්ව ආහාර නිෂ්පාදනය සඳහා පමණක් බඩ ඉරිඟු ආනයනය කිරීමට අවසර ලබාදෙන බව මුදල් අමාත්‍යංශය පවසයි.

නිවේදනයක් නිකුත් කරමින් එම අමාත්‍යංශය පවසන්නේ ජීවන වියදම පිළිබඳ අමාත්‍ය මණ්ඩල අනු කමිටුව මගින් මෙම තීරණයට එළැඹ ඇති බවයි.

කුකුල් මස් නිෂ්පාදන වියදම ඉහළ යෑම වැළැක්වීමේ පියවරක් ලෙස සත්ව ආහාර නිෂ්පාදනයට අවශ්‍ය බඩ ඉරිඟු ආනනයනයට අවසර ලබාදෙන බව එම අමාත්‍යංශය පවසයි.

කිලෝග්රෑ මයක් රුපියල් 52යි ශත50 බැගින් සතොස හරහා මිල දී ගෙන රුපියල් 45ක සහන මිලක් යටතේ සත්ව ආහාර නිෂ්පාදකයින් හට  බඩ ඉරිඟු තොග ලබාදීමටද පියවර ගන්නා බව එම අමාත්‍යංශය පෙන්වාදෙයි.

පසුගිය දා කුකුලු මස් නිෂ්පාදන සඳහා රජය පාලන මිලක් නිකුත් කළද එම මිලට කුකුලු මස් නිෂ්පාදන අලෙවි කල නොහැකි බවට ව්‍යාපාරිකයින් ප්‍රකාශ ඉදිරිපත් කරන ලදී.

කෙසේවෙතත් පාලන මිල උල්ලංඝණය කරමින් භාණ්ඩ අළෙවි කරන වෙළදුන් සොයා තවදුරටත් වැටලීම් සිදුකිරීම පිළිබදව ද, අමාත්‍ය මණ්ඩල අනු කමිටුවේ අවධානය යොමු වූ බව මුදල් අමාත්‍යංශය පවසයි.


http://sinhala.adaderana.lk/news/62707/%E0%B7%83%E0%B6%AD%E0%B7%8A%E0%B7%80-%E0%B6%86%E0%B7%84%E0%B7%8F%E0%B6%BB-%E0%B7%84%E0%B6%AF%E0%B6%B1%E0%B7%8A%E0%B6%B1-%E0%B6%B6%E0%B6%A9-%E0%B6%89%E0%B6%BB%E0%B7%92%E0%B6%9F%E0%B7%94-%E0%B6%9C%E0%B7%99%E0%B6%B1%E0%B7%8A%E0%B7%80%E0%B6%B1%E0%B7%8A%E0%B6%B1-%E0%B6%85%E0%B7%80%E0%B7%83%E0%B6%BB%E0%B6%BA%E0%B7%92

82 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Sep 04, 2016 12:53 am

chamil1


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Teller,


Can you share the graph you are talking about pls?


In HEXP you had inside information. So your prediction success had nothing to do with the PV charts "billa or Angel" you mentioned from time to time.


Before you say that you are accessing the Forum from a phone, let me ask you to share a website link where these graphs are explained.


Thanks

83 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Sep 04, 2016 2:12 am

Teller

avatar
Moderator
@stockback,no need to worry about GRAN value , I just share the technical view . GRAN is fundamentally so sound compare to its technicals. I state my opinion based on our graphs. It should touch 88.37 levels . I believe these charts most of the time it worked.
@ chamil,
PV system is in house developed system on behalf of our multinational company that's the reason you will not find any links on the web.
This system own by SAP GUI Germany.

84 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Sep 04, 2016 6:38 am

TARGET


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Temporary this can come to 90 and again will start its uptrend. No need to worry. Grab some at those levels.

85 Re: GRAN React according to Bollinger Band on Sun Sep 04, 2016 7:39 pm

sameboy

avatar
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
88 ta gaththa awa wagayak tiyenawa, moko karanne sell karannada?

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