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VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

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VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by Harry82 on Sun Feb 19, 2017 11:20 am

First topic message reminder :

Vallibel Finance, the name-bearer of the iconic Vallibel Group, capped yet another outstanding Q3, reporting impressive returns for last 9 months of 2016.
Total income crossed the Rs.3 billion mile-stone, reaching Rs. 3.6 Billion, netting in an exponential growth of 43% as against the previous figure of Rs. 2.4 Billion. It was a robust 9 months for the company as all key indicators returned trumps.
Net interest income moved up 18.9% percent to reach Rs. 1.44 Billion bolstering the pre-tax profits which propelled to Rs. 934 Million, a growth of 47%.
The company stamped its stature on the loan book as well, disbursing Rs. 13.1 Billion during the same period of 2016, offering renewed impetus for growth for people across the country, as a far-fledged mandate of financial support took deeper roots reaching more people in more places.
This was evident in the loan book as total disbursements reached Rs. 23.7 Billion.
“Ours is a home-grown model of financial stewardship that makes us an integral part of the lives and dreams of our customers. At the same time, it’s all built on professionalism and accountability”– Dhammika Perera , Executive Director, Vallibel Finance
The increasing popularity of Vallibel Finance and the respect it commands in the market are evident in its performance which is clearly indicative of the increasing stature of the company. 
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Fri Apr 14, 2017 5:34 pm

Yes this share deserve a much higher price.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by worthiness on Fri Apr 14, 2017 6:53 pm

VFIN has been isolated & stagnant for a long period in undervalued status for unknown reasons though performed well. Surprisingly, in the past holders sold great volumes at lower prices. That could be certain market tactics in re-buying. Fresh movement would be further driven by March ending results.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 9:50 am

VFIN will touch at least 85.00 within 2 months.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Mon Apr 17, 2017 10:06 am

@SLFINANCEWATCH wrote:VFIN will touch at least 85.00 within 2 months.
Another GOD (or should I pronounce it from last letter to first letter), who can give targets with time frame... lol!

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 10:15 am

Will see man..

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Mon Apr 17, 2017 10:36 am

@SLFINANCEWATCH wrote:Will see man..
I think you are a well educated man. Please don't do these kind of promotions.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Mon Apr 17, 2017 11:08 am

@target
I don't think it's an unethical promotion. He has given all reasons why he think share price should adjust to 85/-.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Mon Apr 17, 2017 12:01 pm

@venura wrote:@target
I don't think it's an  unethical promotion. He has given all reasons why he think share price should adjust to 85/-.
vfin is a good share but historically going in low PE. It's good to educate members by giving facts and datas, but giving targets with time frames to fool new comers and unload someones quantity is unacceptable.  If you see it in a unbiased way , you will understand it  venura.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 1:12 pm

I should say again , will see..
If you all think that I'm doing a damn promotion, you may ignore my comments..
New comers.. sorry for my comments about VFIN, It will not touch even 70.00 within 2 months..Mr.Target want me to say that to you all..
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 1:13 pm

Mr.Target see all my earlier posts about VFIN and explain what you mean by low PE ..?
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Mon Apr 17, 2017 2:27 pm

@SLFINANCEWATCH wrote:I should say again , will see..
If you all think that I'm doing a damn promotion, you may ignore my comments..
New comers.. sorry for my comments about VFIN, It will not touch even 70.00 within 2 months..Mr.Target want me to say that to you all..
Oh dear don't go off topic. If you can say, share X go to price R in the time T   Shocked ...poohhh....you must be richer than warren buffet..
Now what I am trying to say must be clear to anyone.. Very Happy 
Because if someone rich like warren buffet, will not come here to promote his share.. Razz

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 3:04 pm

Ok sir..u r not a human..u r a god..u r a special man in this forum..u always think about others..specially about new comers..
But dont u have any idea about the shares u invest ? U are not expecting that share to hit Rs.*** in next year or within few months ? U dont do ur own analysis ? Ha 
U dont predict about its future ?

Or u r not publishing ur  analysis here ? Everyone cant be buffet or gates..but im a good investor..Take VFIN..I may be wrong in short term but as an investment i will surely get a 200% return within 2-3 years..
keep my words in your mind boss..

Please explain sir..
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 3:10 pm

 by SLFINANCEWATCH on Thu Apr 13, 2017 7:46 am


Normally VFIN deliver much better results in last quarter, So EPS will be 17.00+ and NAV will be 60.00+.
There will be a correction in mkt prices of VFIN, LFIN.( Both are too much undervalued )
Current PER is below 4.00 and PBV is 1.05

If mkt price reach  85.00, PER = 5.00, PBV = 1.33
If mkt price reach 102.00, PER = 6.00, PBV = 1.65

Last year EPS = 12.00 , This year EPS = 17.00 , 2018 March EPS = ?? minimum 22.00 , Then if they give Rs.2.50 dividend NAV as at march 2018 = 80.00, 

Then within 12 months PER and PBV analysis will be like this.
Mkt price = 110.00, PER = 5.00, PBV = 1.40
Mkt price = 132.00, PER = 6.00, PBV = 1.65

Meanwhile if interest rates drop PER of 9.00 and PBV 2.00 is possible ( like in 2014 ).

Mkt price = 160.00, PER 7.40, PBV = 2.00

Any comments..


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This is my own view on this matter, Please do your own Analysis and Decide. 

Good Luck !!!
 


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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 3:15 pm

Mr.Target..
See my 1st post on VFIN..and remember this..
U are somewhat right..low PE..but still see the value of this.
In any situation 4,5,6 is a Low PE ratio..speciall return on equity is about 30.00%
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Mon Apr 17, 2017 3:28 pm

@SLFW
Do u hv any additional information about vfin. Such as
Any chance for the company to double its profits
Rights issue
Share split
Impact from the restrictions on leasing
Any new products/investments etc

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 3:52 pm

@Venura..
Do not have much information on theee things, But there will be good chance for a share Split..As they have only 30 branches they have much more space to grow their biz through nebw brznches.
Think they open few in last few months as well.
Others like PLC, LOFC, CFIN, LFIN do not have that chance as they are already covered most part of the country.
VFIN have an edge on that factor..10 new Branches will easily increase their NIM's by 20.00% - 30.00%.

Analysing past results and market situation VFIN will surely post 925 mn + PBT In next year (700Mn * 30.00%).
I.e a EPS of 22.00.
And NAV will be about 80.00.
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by worthiness on Mon Apr 17, 2017 5:09 pm

Expected price might be reached before the said period Or even after that. Timing predictions are far reachable.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Mon Apr 17, 2017 6:04 pm

@SLFINANCEWATCH wrote:.Take VFIN..I may be wrong in short term but as an investment i will surely get a 200% return within 2-3 years..
oh yes boss. thanks. this is what I exactly say. See the topic. Hit 80 in 2 months. So say new comers buy vfin following you, hoping to sell it 80 in 2 months. Assume he want money in 2 months time. But in 2 months time price may have declined. who knows.. Now what happens.. he will be in a deep shit hole... Then you can come and say this have a long term value and blaa blaa...But will it help him???
So my friend you are an educated and intelligent guy. I think you can understand what I am trying to say. So pls give only your analysis (Technical or fundamentals). Never give short term target prices..BECAUSE IT'S OTHERS BLOOD..

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Mon Apr 17, 2017 7:11 pm

Thanks for your advices dude..
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Thu Apr 20, 2017 10:56 am


Smile Very Happy Smile Very Happy
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by TARGET on Thu Apr 20, 2017 1:16 pm

Thanks slfinance for analysis. No doubt long term winner like lfin.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Thu Apr 20, 2017 1:48 pm

Not sure about the forecasted mkt prices. But really interesting to analyse the performances of a company like this. Continues growth in every performance indicator. Can remember in 2007 they recorded just 6Mn as profits. After 10 years its recording nearly 1Bn. Credit should go to top management for implementing a nice business model. Even the staff is having a nice growth with the company. Some of the guys who joined in 2007 as mkting executives hv become branch managers today. If the share price reach to the levels SLFW has predicted shareholders will hv a nice time too.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Mon May 15, 2017 11:13 pm

As slfw predicted vfin has delivered outstanding results for this qtr too. Eps over 21(annualized),nav over 60.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by Yahapalanaya on Tue May 16, 2017 5:03 pm

Good share for long term investing.No need to worry about price movement.Dividend it self would give good amount.
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by venura on Tue May 16, 2017 5:13 pm

I think they will declare 3 or 3/50

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Wed May 17, 2017 10:04 am

Exceptional results from VFIN, They continuously deliver good results in last few years.

Last Quarter Annualized EPS : Rs. 21.17    PE at 68/- = 3.21
Last Year EPS : Rs. 17.48 PE at 68/- = 3.89

Sector PE 7.50
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Wed May 17, 2017 2:53 pm

Last Quarter Annualized EPS : Rs. 21.17    PE at 70/- = 3.30
Last Year EPS : Rs. 17.48 PE at 70/- = 4.00

Sector PE 7.50
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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by worthiness on Wed May 17, 2017 4:16 pm

Some strong shares are not well recognized by many of its intensity but few.

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by SLFINANCEWATCH on Wed May 17, 2017 9:35 pm

Agree with Worthiness..
Considering VGIN's ROE ( 32%+), EPS ( Last Quarter = 21.17 and Last Financial Year = 17.48 ), NAV of 61.50 this should trading at around Rs.100.

Finance Sector PER = 7.60 × 17.48 = Rs.132.80

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Re: VFIN target price -- Rs 80.00 within 2 months

Post by Harry82 on Fri May 19, 2017 7:13 am

Rs 3.50 dividend possible
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