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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED

MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED

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1 MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Jun 13, 2018 9:49 am

Maharaja


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
First topic message reminder :

I guarantee you a big market fall. 
Exit Immediately !!!
Buyers - wait till 2020



Maharaja


121 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Mon Jul 23, 2018 2:37 pm

ranferdi


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:
@Maharaja wrote:
@Avon wrote:Thanks, lets see how accurate you are. Anyway its good to be prepared for any eventuality

Maharaja is always accurate. Now almost 6200 level. So this is the sideway movement I told. ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. 

As I told ASI will test 5800. 


Maharaja


''ASI will turn back to 6000 side about next week. ''


Everybody can see ASI direction today.

Truth will always win.


Maharaja.

You predict something out of your mind and influences you had .... And says that is the Truth.......... Are U Human or God???

http://::::THIS EMAIL DOESNT WORK.. PLEASE CONTACT ME ON FB ACCO

ruwan326


Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Guys enough is enough  Mad

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people affraid

123 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Jul 24, 2018 9:23 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
NPL (Non Performing Loans) in the finance sector & NPG (Non Performing Government) in the political sector are of concern to CSE which is looking for directions.

124 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Jul 25, 2018 11:19 am

dsam


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:Guys enough is enough  Mad

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people affraid
No need to ban Maharaja,still his prediction is correct.we have to face the truth.

125 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Jul 25, 2018 1:34 pm

sanjulanka


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
අපිටම කියල හිතන්න පුලුවන් දවසක් එනකම් එක එක්කෙනගෙ කතා අහගෙන තමයි ඉන්නෙ වෙන්නෙ.වෙළද පොලේ තියෙන හොද කොටස් අඩු මිලට ගන්න  දවසින් දවස කල් දමන එකයි අතේ තියෙන හොද කොටස් අඩු මිලට විකුනන එකයි නතර වෙන්නෙ ලොකු මිනිසුන් එයාලගෙ මල්ල පුරව ගත්තට පස්සෙ එයාලම අපිට ගන්න කියන විට තමයි කියලයි මටනම් හිතෙන්නෙ.හැමෝම බලාන ඉන්නව කිව්වට විකුනන කොටස් ගන්න කට්ටියකුත් ඉන්නවනෙ.5800න් වෙළද පොල වැටෙන එක නතර වෙනව කියල හරියටම කියන්න කොහොමද?4800ට එන්න බැරිද?එකම දේ හැමදාමත් වෙනව කියන්නෙ .... Basketball Basketball Basketball

126 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Jul 26, 2018 2:36 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:Guys enough is enough  Mad

Lats report to admin and moderate to banned these two mentally sick people affraid

In my opinion whether we like or not 2 of Maharaja's predictions have come true so far

1. Orient Finance moving up from Rs. 10 level to Rs. 18/-. How it was done  is irrelevant and the reality is,  his prediction  materialised. (Now the share is back to Rs. 12/-)

2. ASI coming down to 6,077. It happened and it even went down below that point. 

His latest prediction is that market will come down to 5,800 level. We have to wait and see whether that will happen before 31st December 2018

Finally whether it is Bull or Bear Market, if you carry out sound 7-8 year analysis of a company's performance, you can identify the strong solid stocks that will give you satisfactory profits over a period of 5-6 years. I'm talking about long term investing

If the market comes down to the level predicted by Maharaja, don't wait till 2020 to pick up the fundamentally sound stocks which have made shareholders/investors richer in the past. If you've got cash, invest part of that money as a long term investment in those companies to make you richer in 5-6 years

127 Can you repeat the prediction again today on Mon Jul 30, 2018 10:07 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
maharaja,
මේ සතියේ කියන්නේ නැද්ද market crash වෙනවා කියල ?????? Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

investing in the market is not like playing in casino......... Mad Mad
prediction might work on casinos and horoscope readings & fortunetelling but not in share market  Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes

128 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Jul 31, 2018 7:23 am

Ryan Hudson


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
In spite of imminent market crash as they predict, recommended to buy, 

1. CARS - fitch affirmed stable for lion brewery

2. TKYO - self sustained cement manufacturer

3. All Insurance companies

4. All green energy and hydro companies - rain is continuing

129 Margin traders making blood bath again on Tue Jul 31, 2018 12:15 pm

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
End of the month sale is happening thanks to margin traders Mad Mad Mad Mad

So lets wait and see what is line up for August Smile

Most of the quarter reports due Wink

Just hold on and and hang in there  Idea Idea Idea Idea

130 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 01, 2018 1:30 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Ryan Hudson wrote:In spite of imminent market crash as they predict, recommended to buy, 

1. CARS - fitch affirmed stable for lion brewery

2. TKYO - self sustained cement manufacturer

3. All Insurance companies

4. All green energy and hydro companies - rain is continuing
HNB Assuarance (HASU)
Amongst all insurance companies, HASU is one of the top, with fantastic performance and with better than bank FD rates of return to the investors.

5 Year Company Performance Summary
2012-2017 5 year CAGR
Gross Written Premium               19%
Net Profit after tax               21%
Earnings per Share               21%
Net Asset Value per Share               15%
Dividend per Share               17%
  Note:- CAGR- Compounded Annual Growth Rate


Example of Investment Rate of Return of an investor who bought in 2013 1st quarter, after XD and sells in April/May 2018 after XD
Purchase 1,000 shares@
47/80 per share
Sell@ Rs. 102/- per share
+All Dividends Received
Compounded 5 Year
Annual Rate of Investment Return to 
the Investor
Assumed Total Purchase
Cost Rs.49,000/-
Total Rs. 118,000/-       19%

Current Factors in Consideration
1. It appears there will be a minimum of Rs. 10/- Dividend in Feb/Mar 2019 (Refer their latest earnings reports)
2. Allianz seem to be eyeing HNBA General. If that move materializes, that definitely will be at a premium price similar to their buy over of Janashakthi General from JINS.

131 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 01, 2018 2:55 pm

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:End of the month sale is happening thanks to margin traders :x :x :x :x

So lets wait and see what is line up for August :)

Most of the quarter reports due ;)

Just hold on and and hang in there  :idea: :idea: :idea: :idea:
It appears to be a vicious cycle. Now its beginning of the month sale, then it will be mid month sale and followed again by end of the month sale.

Hope there will not be a stock clearance sale!

But remember:

"SUCCESS IS WALKING FROM FAILURE TO FAILURE WITH NO LOSS OF ENTHUSIASM"
                                          - Winston Churchill -
So, hold on & hang on there!

132 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 02, 2018 9:53 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:End of the month sale is happening thanks to margin traders Mad Mad Mad Mad

So lets wait and see what is line up for August Smile

Most of the quarter reports due Wink

Just hold on and and hang in there  Idea Idea Idea Idea
Benjamin Graham who earned satisfactory investment returns from US stock markets even during World Wars and the Guru to many of the wealthiest US Investors including Warren Buffet, says there are 2 possible ways for the investors to try and make profits from stock markets

1. Timing       2. Pricing

Timing means the ability to Anticipate the action of the stock market. That is to Buy or Hold when the future of the market is predicted to be Going Up and to Sell/Do Not Buy when the market is predicted to be Going Down

Pricing means the endeavour to Buy Stocks when they are trading below the fair values of those shares and to Sell them when their prices rise above the fair values. A less ambitious form of Pricing is to make sure you do not pay too much for the stocks you are buying

Based on his theory,  my advice to traders and speculators is to be extremely careful of what you are buying when the overall market sentiment is negative. Research thoroughly on your own before you buy 

There is less risk for those who are buying sound stocks well below the prices of what those stocks are really worth(Pricing approach) for

133 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Mon Aug 06, 2018 10:56 pm

dsam

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
your prediction is still correct Mr.Maraja

134 Another member from 2011 on Tue Aug 07, 2018 7:11 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@dsam wrote:your prediction is still correct Mr.Maraja
dsam, come back in 2020.......... till then as maharaja/Maraja said invest in Negambo fish market.

we will invest as usual and sell it back to you all in 2020 Wink Wink Wink

135 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Aug 07, 2018 12:15 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:
@dsam wrote:your prediction is still correct Mr.Maraja
dsam, come back in 2020.......... till then as maharaja/Maraja said invest in Negambo fish market.

we will invest as usual and sell it back to you all in 2020 Wink Wink Wink
Ruwan we all know the Maharaja chap. But who is this 'Maraja' you are referring to? Is he/she a forum member?

136 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Aug 07, 2018 1:58 pm

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:
@ruwan326 wrote:
@dsam wrote:your prediction is still correct Mr.Maraja
dsam, come back in 2020.......... till then as maharaja/Maraja said invest in Negambo fish market.

we will invest as usual and sell it back to you all in 2020 Wink Wink Wink
Ruwan we all know the Maharaja chap. But who is this 'Maraja' you are referring to? Is he/she a forum member?
you need to ask dsam who is maraja Wink Wink Wink Wink

137 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Aug 07, 2018 9:28 pm

dsam

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:
@ruwan326 wrote:
@dsam wrote:your prediction is still correct Mr.Maraja
dsam, come back in 2020.......... till then as maharaja/Maraja said invest in Negambo fish market.

we will invest as usual and sell it back to you all in 2020 Wink Wink Wink
Ruwan we all know the Maharaja chap. But who is this 'Maraja' you are referring to? Is he/she a forum member?
I am sorry,it was mistake.need to be corrected as Maharaja.

138 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Aug 07, 2018 10:27 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
It's perfectly alright dsam. We all make typographical errors. 

What matters is your intended message and it is well understood.

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:It's perfectly alright dsam. We all make typographical errors. 

What matters is your intended message and it is well understood.
maharaja,
මේ සතියේ කියන්නේ නැද්ද market crash වෙනවා කියල ??????  Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Wink

140 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:22 am

sanjulanka


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
බොහොම ස්තුතියි රුවන්. හැමෝම බය වෙල වගෙ ඉන්න වෙලාවෙ ගැම්මට ඉන්න එකට.මම ඊයෙ කුරුණෑගල කොටස් වෙළදපොලට ගියා ආයොජකයො කිසි කෙනෙක් නැහැ.සමගම් දෙකක විතරක් කවුලු තියෙනව අනිත්ව වහල.ආයොජක උපදේශයින් කීප දෙනෙකුගෙන්ම ඇහුවම මේ දවස්වල මොනද ගන්න හොද කොටස් කියල ඒ හැමදෙනාම පැවසුවෙ දැන්ම ගන්න එපා තව අඩු උනාම ගමු කියල.ඔයා තනිවම කරන සටන ලොකු ගැම්මක්.

141 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:50 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@sanjulanka wrote:බොහොම ස්තුතියි රුවන්. හැමෝම බය වෙල වගෙ ඉන්න වෙලාවෙ ගැම්මට ඉන්න එකට.මම ඊයෙ කුරුණෑගල කොටස් වෙළදපොලට ගියා ආයොජකයො කිසි කෙනෙක් නැහැ.සමගම් දෙකක විතරක් කවුලු තියෙනව අනිත්ව වහල.ආයොජක උපදේශයින් කීප දෙනෙකුගෙන්ම ඇහුවම මේ දවස්වල මොනද ගන්න හොද කොටස් කියල ඒ හැමදෙනාම පැවසුවෙ දැන්ම ගන්න එපා තව අඩු උනාම ගමු කියල.ඔයා තනිවම කරන සටන ලොකු ගැම්මක්.
 market එක මොන හේතු නිසා වැටුනත් නැග්ගත් අපිට පුළුවන් නම් හොඳම කොටස් තෝරාගන්න -සුදුසු වෙලාවට /සුදුසු මිළට බය වෙන්න දෙයක් නැහැ.

මෙච්චර හොඳ quarter reports තිබිලත් /52 weeks lowest මිළටත් අඩුවෙන් කොටස් තිබිලත් තව වැටෙනකන් ඉන්නේ investorලා  නම් උන්ට කියන්න වෙන්නේ මල පෙරේතයෝ කියලා

142 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 09, 2018 12:21 pm

sanjulanka


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy
ඇත්ත රුවන් හුගක් අය භයයි මේ ඇත්තට. දැන් කිසිම උපදෙසක් නොදෙන හුගක් උපදේශකයො තව මිල වැඩි උනාම ගන්න කියනව.ඔයාට මම ස්තුතියි කිව්වෙ ඒකයි.කොච්චර උගත් පුද්ගලයින් උනත් එයාල තමන්ගෙ මල්ල පුරව ගත්තට පස්සෙ තමයි උපදෙස් දෙන්න මේ වගෙ එව භාවිත කරන්නෙ.

143 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 09, 2018 2:10 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@ruwan326 wrote:
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:It's perfectly alright dsam. We all make typographical errors. 

What matters is your intended message and it is well understood.
maharaja,
මේ සතියේ කියන්නේ නැද්ද market crash වෙනවා කියල ??????  Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Wink
Ruwan could you please stop being a nuisance to other forum members? You are addressing Maharaja, quoting my post. 

Not so long a go you branded Maharaja and another as 'mentally sick' but when we see the way you arrogantly behave in this public forum it seems that you are mentally sick

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:
@ruwan326 wrote:
@DS Wijesinghe wrote:It's perfectly alright dsam. We all make typographical errors. 

What matters is your intended message and it is well understood.
maharaja,
මේ සතියේ කියන්නේ නැද්ද market crash වෙනවා කියල ??????  Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Rolling Eyes Wink
Ruwan could you please stop being a nuisance to other forum members? You are addressing Maharaja, quoting my post. 

Not so long a go you branded Maharaja and another as 'mentally sick' but when we see the way you arrogantly behave in this public forum it seems that you are mentally sick
Apologise DS, should have been new topic and not quoting your post Shocked

"Not so long a go you branded Maharaja and another as 'mentally sick' but when we see the way you arrogantly behave in this public forum it seems that you are mentally sick"   තොප්පිය හරිනම් දා ගන්න ........... I said maharaja and wisdom78/79 cause maharaja prays market crash and wisdom prays ALHP soon go up..............DS you are the one saying maharaja and others are mentally sick not me. 

145 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Fri Aug 10, 2018 5:10 am

Yahapalanaya

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Eugine Fernando wrote:
@Maharaja wrote:6077 support will be tested soon. 
Asha phillip says 2200 will support. Maharaja says 6200 will break.

Let the ASI show who is correct in coming days.


Maharaja

If you follow your own advice you must have sold all your shares by now , then why are you wasting your valuable time here, now you can go to Negombo fish market and predict the future fish prices.
Laughing Laughing Laughing

146 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Mon Aug 13, 2018 1:03 pm

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
UNDER THE GOO GOVERNANCE INVESTORS IN CSE WILL NOT EVEN SEE A "PREGNANT COW RUN" LEAVE ALONE THE "BULL RUN".

"PIBIDEMU CSE"

147 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Tue Aug 14, 2018 11:10 am

skyfall


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:UNDER THE GOO GOVERNANCE INVESTORS IN CSE WILL NOT EVEN SEE A "PREGNANT COW RUN" LEAVE ALONE THE "BULL RUN".

"PIBIDEMU CSE"

Yeah bring back the kings family to run the nation. Everything will be alright

148 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 15, 2018 7:46 am

Yahapalanaya

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@skyfall wrote:
@samaritan wrote:UNDER THE GOO GOVERNANCE INVESTORS IN CSE WILL NOT EVEN SEE A "PREGNANT COW RUN" LEAVE ALONE THE "BULL RUN".

"PIBIDEMU CSE"

Yeah bring back the kings family to run the nation. Everything will be alright
Basketball Basketball Basketball

149 True colours of CSE coming coon on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:18 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Yahapalanaya wrote:
@skyfall wrote:
@samaritan wrote:UNDER THE GOO GOVERNANCE INVESTORS IN CSE WILL NOT EVEN SEE A "PREGNANT COW RUN" LEAVE ALONE THE "BULL RUN".

"PIBIDEMU CSE"

Yeah bring back the kings family to run the nation. Everything will be alright
Basketball Basketball Basketball
M3-yahapalanaya,MR-kings family will not give you money to invest in CSE. You need to find your own and invest in the winning shares to make profit.So leave this horse shit politics and focus on your investment.Lets see today after all  these Q2 reports .............. Happy trading.............. lol!

Interim Financial Statements as at 30.06.2018

LION BREWERY CEYLON PLC, CEYLON BEVERAGE HOLDINGS PLC, EQUITY TWO PLC, INDO MALAY PLC, GOOD HOPE PLC, SELINSING PLC, MADULSIMA PLANTATIONS PLC, SHALIMAR (MALAY) PLC, ACL CABLES PLC, PANASIAN POWER PLC, E-CHANNELLING PLC, LOTUS HYDRO POWER PLC, SOFTLOGIC CAPITAL PLC, CANDOR OPPORTUNITIES FUND, MASKELIYA PLANTATIONS PLC, RICHARD PIERIS EXPORTS PLC, KEGALLE PLANTATIONS PLC, NAMUNUKULA PLANTATIONS PLC, RICHARD PIERIS AND COMPANY PLC, RESUS ENERGY PLC, ACL PLASTICS PLC, BIMPUTH FINANCE PLC, C T LAND DEVELOPMENT PLC, RENUKA CITY HOTEL PLC, CARGO BOAT DEVELOPMENT COMPANY PLC, GESTETNER OF CEYLON PLC, HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION BANK OF SRI LANKA, SANASA DEVELOPMENT BANK PLC, KELANI CABLES PLC, ARPICO FINANCE COMPANY PLC, CARSON CUMBERBATCH PLC, BUKIT DARAH PLC, PEGASUS HOTELS OF CEYLON PLC, CEYLON GUARDIAN INVESTMENT TRUST PLC, GUARDIAN CAPITAL PARTNERS PLC, CEYLON INVESTMENT PLC, ARPICO INSURANCE PLC, R I L PROPERTY PLC, ACCESS ENGINEERING PLC, THE FORTRESS RESORTS PLC, CONVENIENCE FOODS (LANKA )PLC, AMBEON CAPITAL PLC, THE LANKA HOSPITAL CORPORATION PLC, AIA INSURANCE LANKA PLC, AITKEN SPENCE PLANTATION MANAGEMENTS PLC, COMMERCIAL CREDIT AND FINANCE PLC, COLOMBO INVESTMENT TRUST PLC, COLOMBO FORT INVESTMENTS PLC, MULLER AND PHIPPS (CEYLON) PLC, SATHOSA MOTORS PLC, LAXAPANA BATTERIES PLC, CEYLINCO INSURANCE PLC, C M HOLDINGS PLC, AMW CAPITAL LEASING AND FINANCE PLC, LAKE HOUSE PRINTERS AND PUBLISHERS PLC, CARGILLS (CEYLON) PLC, KOTMALE HOLDINGS PLC, LAUGFS GAS PLC, RENUKA HOTELS PLC, ELPITIYA PLANTATIONS PLC ...https://www.cse.lk/home/announcement-details/21434#st-21434

150 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 15, 2018 8:26 am

Yahapalanaya

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Still winning stocks are there.We have to analyse and pick/rotate stocks without blaming government which was selected by people.Let us discuss winning stocks after releasing all Q1 results. Smile Smile Smile

151 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 15, 2018 9:42 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Stock Markets are affected by several variables. It does not operate in a vacuum insulated from the variables. That is the reason that the market value does not always reflect the intrinsic value of a stock. In spite of good quarterly results the stock price may not appreciate. The investor sentiment is a key factor.

The Stock Market is widely accepted as a barometer reflecting a Nation's economic performance. Monetary policy of a nation has a bearing on the Stock Market. The biggest scam in the nation's history the Bond Scam had a direct impact on the Monetary Policy. The interest rates are following the dictates of the Govt despite rising inflation in the backdrop of a depreciating rupee.

The bond scam can be be compared to a massive earth quake in the country's financial system, the tremors of which will be felt by the system for a long time to come. Pundits who give running commentaries like in a horse race and soaked in total ignorance do understand these facts. Good Luck!

152 Before Bond scam and after scam on Wed Aug 15, 2018 10:48 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:Stock Markets are affected by several variables. It does not operate in a vacuum insulated from the variables. That is the reason that the market value does not always reflect the intrinsic value of a stock. In spite of good quarterly results the stock price may not appreciate. The investor sentiment is a key factor.

The Stock Market is widely accepted as a barometer reflecting a Nation's economic performance. Monetary policy of a nation has a bearing on the Stock Market. The biggest scam in the nation's history the Bond Scam had a direct impact on the Monetary Policy. The interest rates are following the dictates of the Govt despite rising inflation in the backdrop of a depreciating rupee.

The bond scam can be be compared to a massive earth quake in the country's financial system, the tremors of which will be felt by the system for a long time to come. Pundits who give running commentaries like in a horse race and soaked in total ignorance do understand these facts. Good Luck!

153 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Wed Aug 15, 2018 5:35 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@Yahapalanaya wrote:Still winning stocks are there.We have to analyse and pick/rotate stocks without blaming government which was selected by people.Let us discuss winning stocks after releasing all Q1 results. Smile Smile Smile

Stock market is one of the key barometers of the economic performance of any government. From 2015 to 2018 to-date our GDP growths are declining or struggling. So is CSE and investors have been bleeding with billions of rupees been lost. When the economy does well so will the country's stock market. When investors do not have confidence in the govt to deliver economic growth then we will see a prolonged bear market, like the one we are witnessing right now.

Only shrewed and intelligent investors would be capable of picking up the under valued value stocks under these market conditions and be successful when the market turn around.

Most June 2018 results are out. Profits have declined at JKH, AITK, Hemas. Hayleys, Vallibel One, Access. Almost all the hotels are negative. Profits of Plantation companies BALA, Elpitiya, Watawala, Udapussallawa are down and it must be the same with most of the other plantations too. Profits of Commercial, Sampath, HNB are up but share prices have declined or are struggling. Seylan & PABC profits are down. Even though some Finance companies have posted growths it is no secret that most Finance companies are struggling and being closely monitored by the Central Bank. Even though all most all the insurance companies have posted growths, apart from UAL all other share prices are at almost the same levels before the results were released or marginally down. 

Profits of GRAIN & BFL have increased but share prices have gone down. Profits of ODEL & Abans Electricals retailers are down or flat whilst profits of ceramic & wall tile giants Royal Ceramics and Lanka Walltiles are also down 

What guarantee is there for both the local and foreign investors about the future economic growth of our country under the present government when the Finance Minister himself declares that this is a " Meka Konda Pana nethi Durwala Anduwak" or "This is a weak government without a backbone"

154 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 16, 2018 12:11 am

Maharaja


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Pensions not paid by government !!!
Government does not have money to even pay pension properly.

so don't think about share market.


Maharaja

155 Maharaja and Horse SHIT on Thu Aug 16, 2018 6:43 am

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:Pensions not paid by government !!!
Government does not have money to even pay pension properly.

so don't think about share market.


Maharaja
Since when government pays share holders ?????????????

යන්නේ කොහෙද මල්ලේ පොල්  Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy

හරකෙක් උනාට උම්බෑ කියන්න එපා Maharaja  Wink

156 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 16, 2018 8:53 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:Pensions not paid by government !!!
Government does not have money to even pay pension properly.

so don't think about share market.


Maharaja
No wonder the Finance Minister himself calls it a "WEAK GOVERNMENT".

CSE is sure to CRUMBLE! NSB may be a viable option but that too is not sure!

Your predictions are turning to be true. I will not be surprised if CB Governor tenders his resignation in the near future. Sad state of affairs!

157 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:12 am

Maharaja


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Samaritan,

Still the market did not react for the economic crash country is experiencing.
Mr Market will react to it, and many shares are going to crash. Even big ones.

Maharaja

158 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:24 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:Samaritan,

Still the market did not react for the economic crash country is experiencing.
Mr Market will react to it, and many shares are going to crash. Even big ones.

Maharaja
Agree. Also, trying to keep interest rates down is like putting the back on to a chimney to prevent smoke coming out.

159 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Thu Aug 16, 2018 9:07 pm

dsam

avatar
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
@samaritan wrote:
@Maharaja wrote:Samaritan,

Still the market did not react for the economic crash country is experiencing.
Mr Market will react to it, and many shares are going to crash. Even big ones.

Maharaja
Agree. Also, trying to keep interest rates down is like putting the back on to a chimney to prevent smoke coming out.
not only CSE,look like whole country is  heading to crash soon.

160 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Fri Aug 17, 2018 5:47 am

Yahapalanaya

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Country is moving in good direction.China and india both helping to rebuild srilanka with infrastructure.World is recognising Srilanka.Check how many projects are declared by Hon RW & MS.If you want check daily news front pages... Very Happy Very Happy Very Happy  

Then salary increase to public employess,increased money to samurthy,petrol and gas prices are still lower than previous regime,etc,etc...

I am sorry king's supporters... Smile Smile Smile

161 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Fri Aug 17, 2018 12:42 pm

DS Wijesinghe


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Another Tax On Banks


That notorious Super Gains Tax which the current govt imposed on major companies in Sri Lanka through it's 1st Budget presentation in January 2015, soon after coming in to power was the starting point of decline in CSE under the current govt. The next day after this budget, the CSE went down. From then to-date it is tax after tax


Sri Lanka to charge 7-pct tax from Banks on added value


ECONOMYNEXT  - Sri Lanka has proposed to charge 7 percent value added style-tax from banks and finance companies, in changes proposed to the Finance Act as a so-called Debt Repayment Levy. 

The proposed tax will be calculated  "applying the attributable method" referred in the value added tax act 14 of 2002, the bill said.

It is not clear whether customers who take loans can recover the tax, through their value added tax payments.

Banks already pay a non-recoverable value added tax which falls mostly on salaries. 

If the 'Debt Repayment Levy' is not recoverable as part of the standard value added tax regime by borrowers, the administration would have added yet another tax to the already complex system and would be going against a promise given to reduce the overall number of taxes and broadbase a few and boost compliance in bid to put the country on a faster growth path.
Including the tax in the existing VAT regime is would be consistent with the policy of base-broadening.

Banks are considered easy targets for tax, but the overall effect is to push up nominal interest costs. 

The proposed changes to the law also allows for discretion to make exceptions, which critics say can lead to corruption.

"The Ministry may, having regard to the economic development of the country by Order published in the Gazette, exempt any transaction of a financial institution specified in such Order, from the payment of the Levy payable under this Part, subject to such condition as may be specified in such Order.

162 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Fri Aug 17, 2018 8:42 pm

Maharaja


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
Now people will see what Maharaja predicted many months ago !!


Maharaja

163 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Fri Aug 17, 2018 9:23 pm

ruwan326

avatar
Vice President - Equity Analytics
Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:Now people will see what Maharaja predicted many months ago !!


Maharaja
I thought you started investing@ Negambo Fish market ?????
Come back after 2020 as you said to others............
We will collect @ lowest and sell you back in 2020 Wink Wink Wink

164 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Sat Aug 18, 2018 9:59 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Maharaja wrote:Now people will see what Maharaja predicted many months ago !!


Maharaja
True Maharaja.

PM says that Turkish, Iranian economic crises may affest SL. But he should realize that the country's biggest scam 'the Bond scam' had already affected SL.

The people should curse the architect behind the 'Bond Scam'.

According to MTV 'Bond Scam 2' has still not been investigated and hence the losses have not been quantified yet.

Economy is screwed up left, right & center.

165 Re: MARKET CRASH - GUARANTEED on Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:00 am

samaritan


Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
Senior Vice President - Equity Analytics
A few individuals merely by inserting few posts cannot influence the market sentiment & direction. If that happens, then they are superhuman. Isn't it?

Now we can see posts by a certain individual like goat shit dropped every where in the forum page. The individual is so frustrated that all those have not yielded the desired results and in the height of his frustration has resorted to using obscene language. He should understand the investors are well informed in today's world that they do not make investment decisions solely based on what is said via forum postings.

If reality hurts, nothing can be done. Let's resolve to face it. GL

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