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PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook52.942

PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

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PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by salt on Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:31 am

Will PC House report meaningfull increase in profits?
What will be the price outlook after 3Q reports?

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by invest-abc on Thu Feb 03, 2011 12:09 pm

Latest positive developments of PC House came to ground during past 4 to 5 weeks, so it's too early to see the progress in financial results. However, looking at the recent press relaeases made by the Management we can expect something decent.

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PCH financial report released

Post by Monster on Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:44 pm

http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/961_1296733192441.pdf

Quarter EPS only 0.22. Result is not expected by MW and others who promoted PCH. So, according to market price, PCH is massively overvalued.

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PCH financial Statement

Post by ranga on Thu Feb 03, 2011 5:58 pm


http://www.cse.lk/cmt/upload_report_file/961_1296733192441.pdf

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by $$$ on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:02 pm

Results out blood splattered.....Anualised Eps might not even reach Rs.1.

Lots of investors will now see the truth and hopefully sanity will prevail. Massively over valued. Ideal price around Rs.15. I feel for the people who purchased at higher prices

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PCH financial Statement

Post by ranga on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:03 pm

Profit(Mn)
30-Jun-10 56.3 0.33(EPS)
30-Sep-10 47.5 0.21(EPS)
31-Dec-10 50 0.22(EPS)

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by tubal on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:10 pm

There you go, the much awaited PCH financial statements are out. Where is the growth everyone has been talking about?

Bottom line has improved from 70 to 140 million you say? deduct the difference in interest paid that's 58 million. So you have just 12 million growth attributable to the massive expansion campaign

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by $$$ on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:14 pm

9 months Rs.140 Million (99% increase from last year) last Quarter 50 million (46% Increase last year)
Impressive results. But doesn't warrant the current share price value. Massively over valued.

Lets see how the market reacts to this. It has already begun reacting in my eyes

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by tubal on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:17 pm

@$$$ wrote:9 months Rs.140 Million (99% increase from last year) last Quarter 50 million (46% Increase last year)
Impressive results. But doesn't warrant the current share price value. Massively over valued.

Lets see how the market reacts to this. It has already begun reacting in my eyes

Yes, but that's just a reduction of finance cost. Every single company at the CSE has done that.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by mission on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:22 pm

Now dont tell that we didn't warn u guys.. it was evident that PCH cant do miracles.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by maximus on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:33 pm

I found a particular name while going through top 20 PCH share holder list, this name was not in Q2 report but in Q3 report.

MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA 682,900 0.3%

I remember the same name came up when MW real name was disclosed, Can this be pure coincident?

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by innam on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:40 pm

maximus if you go through the BFL interim statements you will see the same name....now you know why such a massive effort (so much time and so many 1000s of posts) push was done on BFL and PCH....This is why PCH was "supposed to reach 100"
(Almost) No one does a social service for free, everone needs an incentive. Now you know the tortoise's incentive.....

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by sunandaf on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:40 pm

Check the BFL main share holders list.NIZAM also in there.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by mission on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:44 pm

HERAYMILA INVESTMENTS LIMITED held 4.2% at the end of 30 sep 2010. BUT now they are not even in the top 20 shareholder list.. they have sold out a large proportion of their investment

and Foriegn shareholding has decresd from 6.37% to 1% this quarter. that's another dent to PCH. and we all know senthi is a master trader who knows when he will dump his shareholding to the poor retailers.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by innam on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:46 pm

Big question is will the tortoise dump his shareholding before it reaches 100?

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by Monster on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:48 pm

@sunandaf wrote:Check the BFL main share holders list.NIZAM also in there.

Very interesting. Same person is in the BFL top 20 list too.

Mr. M.N. Singa Laxana 101,040 0.63%

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by Gaja on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:48 pm

Since everybody is talking about income statement, i would to draw all of your attention to the balance sheet and specially for these 2 items which have an impact to the Income Statement
GROUP

31.12.2010 30.09.2010 31.07.2010 31.03.2010
Inventory 786,099,000 616,000,052 413,660,742 390,782,000
Trade Receivables 649,810.000 591,347,577 517,678,745 427,316,000

31.12.2010 30.09.2010 31.07.2010 31.03.2010
Inventory 759,680,000 607,109,643 405,568,333 382,782,000
Trade Receivables 619,800.000 524,755,707 457,824,314 388,752,000

Also noted some changes in the Top 20 Shareholders

Experts fluent with the B&S, IS, do you thing these 2 items might have impact on the income statement?

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by tubal on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:49 pm

@maximus wrote:I found a particular name while going through top 20 PCH share holder list, this name was not in Q2 report but in Q3 report.

MOHAMED NIZAM SINGA LAXANA 682,900 0.3%

I remember the same name came up when MW real name was disclosed, Can this be pure coincident?

I think this is important enough to deserve a thread on it's own right. Please start one.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by tubal on Thu Feb 03, 2011 6:51 pm

@innam wrote:Big question is will the tortoise dump his shareholding before it reaches 100?

maybe he already has. That's the share holding as at 31/12.

But let's please do start a new thread with this. It's too important to be discussed as a foot note inside this thread.


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Link

Post by RockStock on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:03 pm

Follow this link too and compare


http://groups.google.com/group/ibf777/browse_thread/thread/97ee6fbbbe53b756/bf7d2830a280ac6d?lnk=gst&q=#bf7d2830a280ac6d

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by econ on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:09 pm

tortoise seem to be buy and promote.. Evil or Very Mad

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by Gaja on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:16 pm

All experts in the BS & IS please share your thoughts for my post thanks

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by salt on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:41 pm

There is no big jump in profits

PC House could be manupulated by interested groups

If so called Nizam is MarketWatch and had he willfully misled the forum, SEC should investigate it

HOWEVER, PC house & IT industry COULD be growing at faster rate than rest of the economy


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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by ronstyn on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:47 pm

@Gaja wrote:All experts in the BS & IS please share your thoughts for my post thanks


I am no expert, but I raised these same concerns on investnow seeing their Sept 2010
financials.

My concerns were Q on Q increase in inventory and trade receivables
and also Q on Q increase in Finance cost despite IPO infusion and decreasing interest rates.

Another concern is rising inventory especially in IT products which become obsolete in short time.

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Re: PC HOUSE (PCH) - Future Outlook

Post by Gaja on Thu Feb 03, 2011 7:58 pm

Basically this is my concern PCH in the business where changes in technology took place every sections, but here the issue is their inventory is building up heavily so there might be more obsolete stocks which need to written off even though i am not sure whether is actually building up or they increase their stock levels more because of high demand.

With regard to increase in the receivable level, are there any requirement for provision of bad & doubtful debts. At the same time i am not sure about the proposition of the receivables.


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