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Sri Lanka Equity Forum » Stock Market Talk » NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000)

NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000)

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1NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 8:25 am

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Will NEST reach 15000 one day/
Hello everyone,please express your expert views on this.thanks

2NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 8:51 am

Humble


Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@dudi wrote:Hello everyone,please express your expert views on this.thanks

In about 10 years - I guess so Smile

3NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 9:17 am

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Ya.it looks pretty much so.no wonder if it happens.a great company

4NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 10:09 am

rainmaker


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Tell me what the exchange rate will be at that time

5NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 11:46 am

dudi


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
rain,ex rate of which currency?

6NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 12:02 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Yes.

When they ban Anchor and other milk imports forever.

7NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 08, 2013 2:37 pm

rainmaker


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
I was referring to LKR - USD cross rate

A Holland based firm was the global leader. Then Chernobyl occurred and it was all over red rover!

Fonterra was the combination of two large cooperatives to tackle Nestle. A cooperative where individual farmers were brought in as shareholders to encourage production and profit participation

In 2012 in order to raise capital, units were sold and the units were treated like shares with equal dividends. Australian fund manager Perpetual owns 10% of the outstanding units.

However Chinese investors preferred to buy NZ farms directly instead of the units (i.e. it's a cooperative)

Fonterra is large.... very large. It is like Ingham (one of the chicken providers to KFC, McDonalds etc).

Lets see how successful the new milk policy ...... Rolling Eyes

8NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Wed Aug 14, 2013 2:45 pm

sashimaal

sashimaal
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
May happen sooner than we think lol! 

9NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 1:45 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@sashimaal wrote:May happen sooner than we think  lol! 
Because it is the only listed milk powder producer ?

History Form 2008, (roughly )
appreciated 100% in 13 months
another 100% next 17 months,
another 100%  in next 12 months
total  3.5 years

with the new developments,

100% 2000 -> 4000 in 18 months max
100% 4000 -> 8000 in 18 months
100% 8000 -> 16,000 in 18 months

Total 4.5 years

It can happen in 3.5 to 4.5 years : Between January 2017- and January 2018 !

NOTE: THIS IS JUST MATHEMATICS . Do not take seriously for anything. (for buying or challenging me ) Extrapolation is very dangerous in stock valuation.

10NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 5:26 pm

malanp


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics

Share trading, mostly reverses to the mean.

we never know, it will reach 600 after 4 years

11NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 6:22 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
ya every upturn is backed by a few crossings,then it go to heaven

12NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 7:07 pm

Chinwi

Chinwi
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Over 90 % is with the main foreign shareholder.

They siphon each and every cent they earn here in Sri lanka to overseas owners. (in billions ) *

Nothing left to make it grow.
Asset value of the share is just 47 Rupees while they earn over 100 rupees per year.

----

* Is this somewhat similar to paying in billions to import milk powder ? (except some cash going to our farmers instead of to NZ farmers )

13NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 7:23 pm

WildBear


Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
Assistant Vice President - Equity Analytics
@Chinwi wrote:Over 90 % is with the main foreign shareholder.

They siphon each and every cent they earn here in Sri lanka to overseas owners. (in billions ) *

Nothing left to make it grow.
Asset value of the share is just 47 Rupees while they earn over 100 rupees per year.

----

* Is this somewhat similar to paying in billions to import milk powder  ? (except some cash going to our farmers instead of to NZ farmers )
At least they share some value with locals, Jobs to farmers,employers, Government tax and CSR etc,

14NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Thu Aug 15, 2013 10:45 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
@malanp wrote:
Share trading, mostly reverses to the mean.

we never know, it will reach 600 after 4 years
Should be in a disaster situation then.. Or if they go for a sub div.

15NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Fri Aug 16, 2013 4:17 pm

sashimaal

sashimaal
Manager - Equity Analytics
Manager - Equity Analytics
@mark wrote:ya every upturn is backed by a few crossings,then it go to heaven
Another crossing happened - at RS 2500

Quantity is bigger than the previous ones

Very Happy 

16NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty NEST going to run? on Fri Oct 04, 2013 4:19 pm

mark

mark
Expert
Expert
finally i was tempted to enter to nest and bought 1950-1999.

There was a 10k trade at 1950 yesterday and a crossing done today.

I feel it need a run, btw wil exit if it touch 1850.

Any idea guys?

17NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Fri Oct 04, 2013 4:26 pm

sikka89


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Marka it's not only NEST, it's market.alien alien 

18NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Fri Oct 04, 2013 4:35 pm

smallville

smallville
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
budu ambooo api owata nehe.. if u have 100 shares and if 100 rupees down, sorry ma thama..

19NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Fri Oct 04, 2013 5:09 pm

Gaja


Associate Director - Equity Analytics
Associate Director - Equity Analytics
how many shares u bought mark, if u think its ok to answer, if not also no issues friend?

I try to buy at 1,870 yesterday but it failed, i wanted less than 10 only

20NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Empty Re: NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) on Sat Oct 05, 2013 6:14 am

Dileepa


Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Senior Manager - Equity Analytics
Hi mark,
NEST is not going to run, it has a beautiful step function which is very easy to predict Very Happy
(Though I'm surprised by the last spike) 
NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Nest_r10
Your buy price is kind of optimal.
See that RSI 40 line, It has been below that level only 0.9% of the time for the last 10 years.
So I would say 99% of the time you are pretty much safe cheers 

small,
That doesn't hurt once you build the "nest egg".
(Specially when you know that you are going to get a Rs.60/= dividend)
I was watching this going to 2500 and coming back to 2000  Cool 
As you are a seasoned investor,
I really believe that you should hold this(at lease 10 shares). Wink 
NESTLE LANKA PLC (NEST.N0000) Nest_210

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